Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:22:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.2

30-Day Momentum

1
-11.3%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,383
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,253.45
Current Value
$7,425.03
Period P&L
$-4,828.43
Max Drawdown
-30.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.69

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
3 / 17
Best Trade
+5.21%
Worst Trade
-9.95%
Avg Trade Return
-2.41%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$383,208.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,828.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,828.43
Gross Return
-39.40%
Net Return (after fees)
-39.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $12,253.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $28.56 429 $12,250.10
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET $27.63 429 $11,851.13 $11,854.49 $-398.97
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:55am ET $26.56 446 $11,845.76
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $25.70 446 $11,459.97 $11,468.70 $-385.79
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $25.10 456 $11,445.60
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:35am ET $24.33 456 $11,092.20 $11,115.30 $-353.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:35am ET $23.45 474 $11,115.25
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:10pm ET $22.74 474 $10,778.76 $10,778.80 $-336.49
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET $22.02 489 $10,767.73
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $21.34 489 $10,437.70 $10,448.78 $-330.03
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $20.12 519 $10,442.28
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $19.34 519 $10,040.05 $10,046.55 $-402.23
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $21.07 476 $10,026.94
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $20.42 476 $9,717.54 $9,737.15 $-309.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $19.26 505 $9,726.30
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $18.64 505 $9,411.08 $9,421.93 $-315.22
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $18.12 519 $9,405.32
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 10:50am ET $17.58 519 $9,121.43 $9,138.04 $-283.89
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET $17.85 511 $9,121.35
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 12:45pm ET $18.75 511 $9,583.80 $9,600.49 +$462.45
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:30am ET $18.78 511 $9,596.58
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $17.93 511 $9,162.23 $9,166.14 $-434.35
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:05am ET $18.34 499 $9,149.71
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:10am ET $17.77 499 $8,867.23 $8,883.66 $-282.48
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $17.08 519 $8,867.11
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:00am ET $17.94 519 $9,310.86 $9,327.41 +$443.75
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:00am ET $16.86 553 $9,323.52
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $16.25 553 $8,986.25 $8,990.14 $-337.27
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $15.52 579 $8,986.02
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $15.05 579 $8,714.53 $8,718.65 $-271.49
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:55am ET $15.61 558 $8,710.38
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $14.99 558 $8,367.21 $8,375.48 $-343.17
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:55am ET $16.92 494 $8,360.95
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $16.40 494 $8,099.13 $8,113.66 $-261.82
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $18.82 431 $8,110.95
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $19.80 431 $8,533.80 $8,536.51 +$422.85
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $19.00 449 $8,531.63
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $18.35 449 $8,239.15 $8,244.03 $-292.48
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $18.30 450 $8,235.00
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $16.48 450 $7,416.00 $7,425.03 $-819.00
(-9.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,425.03
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,574.97
Total Return: -25.75%
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