SOXL Danny Dip's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 37 trades in period
+10.43%
Year to Date Return
$36,053.01
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$32,648.67
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
56
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
26.1/35
Total Return
20.1/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
56.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 55.8
30-Day Momentum
44
+16.7%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 53.9
Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,933
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
86 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$32,648.67
Current Value
$36,053.01
Period P&L
$3,404.41
Max Drawdown
-35.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
16 /
21
Best Trade
+12.39%
Worst Trade
-9.85%
Avg Trade Return
+0.57%
Avg Hold Time
18.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,701,612.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,404.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,404.41
Gross Return
+10.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.43%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 86 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $32,648.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 10:20am ET | $42.26 | 735 | $31,061.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.50 | 735 | $34,909.63 | $34,938.93 |
+$3,848.53 (+12.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.15 | 669 | $34,888.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.42 | 669 | $33,058.64 | $33,109.21 |
$-1,829.72 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.94 | 613 | $33,062.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.78 | 613 | $36,643.91 | $36,690.97 |
+$3,581.76 (+10.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.43 | 638 | $36,637.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.92 | 638 | $40,780.96 | $40,834.78 |
+$4,143.81 (+11.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $60.46 | 675 | $40,810.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.50 | 675 | $44,212.50 | $44,236.78 |
+$3,402.00 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.16 | 648 | $44,170.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.77 | 648 | $41,319.72 | $41,386.42 |
$-2,850.36 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:45pm ET | $64.54 | 641 | $41,370.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $61.43 | 641 | $39,376.12 | $39,392.40 |
$-1,994.02 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $58.34 | 675 | $39,379.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:25am ET | $56.49 | 675 | $38,130.75 | $38,143.65 |
$-1,248.75 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $50.48 | 755 | $38,112.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET | $53.47 | 755 | $40,369.85 | $40,401.10 |
+$2,257.45 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $62.89 | 642 | $40,375.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.72 | 642 | $43,474.83 | $43,500.55 |
+$3,099.45 (+7.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.71 | 704 | $43,440.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:55am ET | $64.88 | 704 | $45,675.52 | $45,735.47 |
+$2,234.92 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 3:10pm ET | $65.43 | 698 | $45,670.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 12:05pm ET | $63.42 | 698 | $44,263.67 | $44,329.00 |
$-1,406.47 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $65.81 | 673 | $44,290.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:15am ET | $63.68 | 673 | $42,856.64 | $42,895.51 |
$-1,433.49 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $69.70 | 615 | $42,865.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $67.14 | 615 | $41,291.10 | $41,321.11 |
$-1,574.40 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $62.12 | 665 | $41,309.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.17 | 665 | $38,683.05 | $38,694.36 |
$-2,626.75 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.90 | 704 | $38,649.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $53.15 | 704 | $37,421.12 | $37,465.88 |
$-1,228.48 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $55.19 | 678 | $37,422.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET | $53.38 | 678 | $36,191.64 | $36,235.31 |
$-1,230.57 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 2:05pm ET | $50.66 | 715 | $36,222.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $48.76 | 715 | $34,866.97 | $34,879.67 |
$-1,355.64 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET | $55.60 | 627 | $34,861.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $53.85 | 627 | $33,763.95 | $33,782.42 |
$-1,097.25 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.35 | 633 | $33,770.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $50.88 | 633 | $32,206.98 | $32,218.91 |
$-1,563.51 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $51.69 | 623 | $32,201.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:00pm ET | $50.09 | 623 | $31,206.07 | $31,223.54 |
$-995.37 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $53.02 | 588 | $31,175.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.02 | 588 | $32,939.76 | $32,987.54 |
+$1,764.00 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.06 | 672 | $32,968.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 10:00am ET | $51.84 | 672 | $34,836.55 | $34,855.77 |
+$1,868.23 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $52.78 | 660 | $34,834.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 1:30pm ET | $51.07 | 660 | $33,706.20 | $33,727.17 |
$-1,128.60 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.00 | 648 | $33,696.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $54.64 | 648 | $35,406.72 | $35,437.89 |
+$1,710.72 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.12 | 654 | $35,395.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:45am ET | $52.22 | 654 | $34,155.15 | $34,198.04 |
$-1,239.85 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $46.65 | 733 | $34,194.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $44.44 | 733 | $32,570.86 | $32,574.44 |
$-1,623.60 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $43.26 | 752 | $32,531.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $45.51 | 752 | $34,223.52 | $34,266.44 |
+$1,692.00 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $52.27 | 655 | $34,236.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.12 | 655 | $30,863.60 | $30,893.25 |
$-3,373.19 (-9.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $53.42 | 578 | $30,876.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $56.46 | 578 | $32,633.88 | $32,650.31 |
+$1,757.06 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET | $82.11 | 397 | $32,597.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:45am ET | $86.31 | 397 | $34,264.99 | $34,317.63 |
+$1,667.32 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $92.64 | 370 | $34,276.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $98.35 | 370 | $36,387.65 | $36,428.48 |
+$2,110.85 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET | $112.62 | 323 | $36,376.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $108.45 | 323 | $35,029.32 | $35,081.54 |
$-1,346.94 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $124.78 | 281 | $35,063.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $119.17 | 281 | $33,486.77 | $33,505.13 |
$-1,576.41 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $109.36 | 306 | $33,465.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $105.15 | 306 | $32,176.54 | $32,215.98 |
$-1,289.15 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.47 | 263 | $32,209.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:05am ET | $129.14 | 263 | $33,963.82 | $33,970.69 |
+$1,754.71 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $127.76 | 265 | $33,856.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.62 | 265 | $35,938.72 | $36,053.01 |
+$2,082.32 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$36,053.01
Net Profit/Loss:
+$26,053.01
Total Return:
+260.53%