Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:18:31

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 30.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 30.4

30-Day Momentum

54
+25.7%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 88.7 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,502
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,662.53
Current Value
$16,815.44
Period P&L
$3,152.89
Max Drawdown
-40.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
9 / 9
Best Trade
+13.96%
Worst Trade
-4.63%
Avg Trade Return
+1.29%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$507,963.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,152.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,152.89
Gross Return
+23.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $13,662.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET $52.93 258 $13,656.09
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:50am ET $55.62 258 $14,348.82 $14,355.29 +$692.73
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET $53.87 266 $14,328.76
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $52.05 266 $13,844.79 $13,871.33 $-483.96
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $51.14 271 $13,858.94
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $53.72 271 $14,556.77 $14,569.15 +$697.83
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $55.19 263 $14,514.97
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:45am ET $53.50 263 $14,070.08 $14,124.26 $-444.89
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $53.58 263 $14,091.54
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:40pm ET $51.97 263 $13,668.11 $13,700.83 $-423.43
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:40pm ET $48.84 280 $13,675.20
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $47.14 280 $13,199.20 $13,224.83 $-476.00
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $47.72 277 $13,218.44
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:55am ET $50.14 277 $13,888.75 $13,895.14 +$670.31
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:55am ET $48.31 287 $13,864.97
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET $50.99 287 $14,635.56 $14,665.73 +$770.59
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $49.74 294 $14,623.56
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.47 294 $13,956.47 $13,998.64 $-667.09
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $46.80 299 $13,993.20
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $49.16 299 $14,698.84 $14,704.28 +$705.64
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $48.56 302 $14,665.12
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $46.31 302 $13,985.62 $14,024.78 $-679.50
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:45am ET $47.94 292 $13,998.48
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET $46.49 292 $13,575.08 $13,601.38 $-423.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $44.75 303 $13,559.25
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $43.22 303 $13,097.17 $13,139.30 $-462.08
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $43.85 299 $13,109.66
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $42.43 299 $12,686.33 $12,715.98 $-423.32
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $41.02 309 $12,675.18
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $43.15 309 $13,334.89 $13,375.69 +$659.71
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $42.78 312 $13,346.64
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $48.75 312 $15,210.00 $15,239.05 +$1,863.36
(+14.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $58.58 260 $15,232.10
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:55am ET $61.55 260 $16,003.29 $16,010.24 +$771.19
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $60.58 264 $15,993.12
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $63.63 264 $16,798.32 $16,815.44 +$805.20
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,815.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,815.44
Total Return: +68.15%
Back to Danny Dip