Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:25:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 27.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 26.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-2.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,480
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$14,471.08
Current Value
$13,978.33
Period P&L
$-492.73
Max Drawdown
-32.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+5.77%
Worst Trade
-4.77%
Avg Trade Return
-0.23%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$306,671.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-492.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$-492.73
Gross Return
-3.40%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $14,471.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $439.93 32 $14,077.76
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $426.23 32 $13,639.36 $14,032.66 $-438.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $425.42 32 $13,613.47
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:05pm ET $447.95 32 $14,334.40 $14,753.59 +$720.93
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:35am ET $419.81 35 $14,693.35
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET $405.00 35 $14,175.00 $14,235.24 $-518.35
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $408.07 34 $13,874.38
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $394.74 34 $13,421.33 $13,782.19 $-453.05
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $390.52 35 $13,668.20
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:55am ET $411.71 35 $14,409.85 $14,523.84 +$741.65
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:50am ET $394.96 36 $14,218.56
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET $381.09 36 $13,719.24 $14,024.52 $-499.32
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:55am ET $372.52 37 $13,783.24
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $394.00 37 $14,578.00 $14,819.28 +$794.76
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $364.36 40 $14,574.40
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $353.20 40 $14,128.00 $14,372.88 $-446.40
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $364.39 39 $14,211.20
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET $353.29 39 $13,778.31 $13,939.99 $-432.89
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET $392.41 35 $13,734.35
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $373.69 35 $13,079.15 $13,284.79 $-655.20
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:00am ET $364.81 36 $13,133.16
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $384.08 36 $13,826.70 $13,978.33 +$693.54
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,978.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,978.33
Total Return: +39.78%
Back to Danny Dip