UVXY Danny Dip's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 37 trades in period
+3.78%
Year to Date Return
$8,244.57
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$7,944.41
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
4.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 4.8
30-Day Momentum
6
-20.5%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1
Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,885
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$7,944.41
Current Value
$8,244.57
Period P&L
$300.17
Max Drawdown
-61.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
16 /
21
Best Trade
+9.99%
Worst Trade
-15.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$663,453.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$300.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$300.17
Gross Return
+3.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.78%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $7,944.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $34.78 | 228 | $7,929.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.92 | 228 | $8,417.76 | $8,432.32 |
+$487.92 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.23 | 239 | $8,419.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.75 | 239 | $9,261.47 | $9,273.81 |
+$841.50 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.12 | 237 | $9,272.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:55am ET | $37.77 | 237 | $8,951.49 | $8,952.99 |
$-320.83 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
24m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $35.04 | 255 | $8,935.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 11:30am ET | $36.80 | 255 | $9,384.00 | $9,401.79 |
+$448.80 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 11:30am ET | $38.32 | 245 | $9,388.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:20pm ET | $37.17 | 245 | $9,105.43 | $9,118.81 |
$-282.98 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $36.84 | 247 | $9,099.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $35.59 | 247 | $8,790.73 | $8,810.06 |
$-308.75 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 2:15pm ET | $37.63 | 234 | $8,805.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:45am ET | $36.15 | 234 | $8,459.10 | $8,463.74 |
$-346.32 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:15am ET | $40.55 | 208 | $8,434.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:45am ET | $39.27 | 208 | $8,168.16 | $8,197.50 |
$-266.24 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $36.53 | 224 | $8,182.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $35.43 | 224 | $7,936.32 | $7,951.10 |
$-246.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $35.17 | 226 | $7,947.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $36.94 | 226 | $8,349.57 | $8,353.38 |
+$402.28 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $41.20 | 202 | $8,322.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $39.78 | 202 | $8,035.56 | $8,066.54 |
$-286.84 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $38.89 | 207 | $8,050.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $40.90 | 207 | $8,466.30 | $8,482.61 |
+$416.07 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 11:05am ET | $38.74 | 218 | $8,444.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $37.53 | 218 | $8,182.63 | $8,221.01 |
$-261.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:10am ET | $38.30 | 214 | $8,196.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $40.56 | 214 | $8,680.91 | $8,705.72 |
+$484.71 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $40.99 | 212 | $8,690.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 12:20pm ET | $39.68 | 212 | $8,412.16 | $8,426.94 |
$-278.78 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 12:20pm ET | $44.48 | 189 | $8,406.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 1:35pm ET | $43.07 | 189 | $8,141.14 | $8,161.36 |
$-265.58 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 3:05pm ET | $45.83 | 178 | $8,157.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.15 | 178 | $8,926.70 | $8,930.32 |
+$768.96 (+9.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $54.73 | 163 | $8,920.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $52.89 | 163 | $8,621.07 | $8,630.40 |
$-299.92 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $43.70 | 197 | $8,608.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $46.07 | 197 | $9,075.79 | $9,097.29 |
+$466.89 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 3:30pm ET | $47.02 | 193 | $9,074.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $49.52 | 193 | $9,557.36 | $9,579.79 |
+$482.50 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $47.84 | 200 | $9,568.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $50.68 | 200 | $10,136.00 | $10,147.79 |
+$568.00 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:55am ET | $46.89 | 216 | $10,128.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.55 | 216 | $9,622.78 | $9,642.33 |
$-505.46 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $53.01 | 181 | $9,594.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:00am ET | $51.05 | 181 | $9,240.05 | $9,287.57 |
$-354.76 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $51.04 | 181 | $9,238.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $53.61 | 181 | $9,703.41 | $9,752.74 |
+$465.17 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 2:45pm ET | $49.11 | 198 | $9,722.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.24 | 198 | $10,343.52 | $10,373.41 |
+$620.67 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.31 | 210 | $10,355.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $52.00 | 210 | $10,920.00 | $10,938.31 |
+$564.90 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:30am ET | $57.08 | 191 | $10,902.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 1:55pm ET | $59.98 | 191 | $11,456.18 | $11,492.21 |
+$553.90 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $60.33 | 190 | $11,462.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.16 | 190 | $10,670.40 | $10,699.91 |
$-792.30 (-6.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.08 | 209 | $10,675.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 12:50pm ET | $49.53 | 209 | $10,351.77 | $10,375.96 |
$-323.95 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $49.83 | 208 | $10,364.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $48.31 | 208 | $10,048.48 | $10,059.80 |
$-316.16 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $51.17 | 196 | $10,029.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.46 | 196 | $8,517.18 | $8,547.66 |
$-1,512.14 (-15.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $43.91 | 194 | $8,518.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $42.35 | 194 | $8,215.22 | $8,244.34 |
$-303.32 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $41.26 | 199 | $8,210.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $39.94 | 199 | $7,949.05 | $7,982.66 |
$-261.68 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET | $38.80 | 205 | $7,954.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $37.44 | 205 | $7,676.22 | $7,704.89 |
$-277.77 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.46 | 200 | $7,692.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET | $40.39 | 200 | $8,078.00 | $8,090.55 |
+$385.66 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:20am ET | $37.12 | 217 | $8,054.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $35.92 | 217 | $7,794.64 | $7,830.97 |
$-259.58 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $35.53 | 220 | $7,816.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $37.41 | 220 | $8,230.20 | $8,244.57 |
+$413.60 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,244.57
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,755.43
Total Return:
-17.55%