Compendium › Danny Dip › WMT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
WMT
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 3 trades in period

+7.20%
Year to Date Return
$13,009.64
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$12,136.25
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:17:14

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.2/35
Total Return
12.4/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
5.8/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 47.5/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 27.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,192
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,136.25
Current Value
$13,009.64
Period P&L
$873.38
Max Drawdown
-6.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.63

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+5.25%
Worst Trade
-3.02%
Avg Trade Return
+2.44%
Avg Hold Time
11.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$77,024.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$873.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$873.38
Gross Return
+7.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $12,136.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $117.84 102 $12,020.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $123.83 102 $12,631.17 $12,747.35 +$611.09
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET $122.10 104 $12,697.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $128.50 104 $13,364.00 $13,413.47 +$666.12
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:10am ET $123.68 108 $13,357.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:55am ET $119.94 108 $12,953.61 $13,009.64 $-403.83
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,009.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,009.64
Total Return: +30.10%
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