AMZN Danny Dip's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 34 trades executed
+20.23%
2 Years Return
$14,754.36
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$12,272.07
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 81%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.6/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
39.8/100
× Confidence 0.81
= 32.3
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (81%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
85,514
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$12,272.07
Current Value
$14,754.36
Total P&L
$2,482.27
Max Drawdown
-17.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
30
Winners / Losers
15 /
15
Best Trade
+9.06%
Worst Trade
-6.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.73%
Avg Hold Time
5.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$746,973.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,482.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,482.27
Gross Return
+20.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.23%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $12,272.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2024 10:05am ET | $187.18 | 65 | $12,166.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2024 2:40pm ET | $181.30 | 65 | $11,784.18 | $11,889.54 |
$-382.53 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $166.00 | 71 | $11,786.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $155.77 | 71 | $11,059.67 | $11,163.21 |
$-726.33 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2024 9:50am ET | $180.86 | 61 | $11,032.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 18, 2024 12:35pm ET | $190.06 | 61 | $11,593.66 | $11,724.14 |
+$560.93 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2024 10:25am ET | $187.30 | 62 | $11,612.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 1, 2024 9:30am ET | $199.54 | 62 | $12,371.48 | $12,482.90 |
+$758.77 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $205.83 | 60 | $12,349.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2024 10:20am ET | $199.64 | 60 | $11,978.54 | $12,111.65 |
$-371.26 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2024 3:30pm ET | $223.07 | 54 | $12,045.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $221.39 | 54 | $11,955.06 | $12,020.91 |
$-90.74 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $227.20 | 52 | $11,814.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2025 10:10am ET | $238.67 | 52 | $12,410.84 | $12,617.61 |
+$596.70 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $230.04 | 54 | $12,422.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2025 9:55am ET | $222.78 | 54 | $12,029.85 | $12,225.36 |
$-392.25 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 10:20am ET | $207.78 | 58 | $12,050.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $218.70 | 58 | $12,684.60 | $12,859.00 |
+$633.64 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $200.41 | 64 | $12,826.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2025 11:30am ET | $194.34 | 64 | $12,437.76 | $12,470.46 |
$-388.54 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $191.96 | 64 | $12,285.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2025 9:50am ET | $202.56 | 64 | $12,963.52 | $13,148.54 |
+$678.08 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 28, 2025 10:05am ET | $195.93 | 67 | $13,127.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $185.81 | 67 | $12,448.94 | $12,470.17 |
$-678.38 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $182.97 | 68 | $12,441.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:45am ET | $177.10 | 68 | $12,042.80 | $12,071.01 |
$-399.16 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 10:45am ET | $171.73 | 70 | $12,021.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $165.50 | 70 | $11,585.00 | $11,634.91 |
$-436.10 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 11:30am ET | $178.03 | 65 | $11,571.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 3:00pm ET | $172.15 | 65 | $11,189.75 | $11,252.71 |
$-382.20 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $184.95 | 60 | $11,097.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 12:00pm ET | $178.72 | 60 | $10,722.90 | $10,878.61 |
$-374.10 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $169.02 | 64 | $10,817.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $184.33 | 64 | $11,796.99 | $11,858.32 |
+$979.71 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $181.42 | 65 | $11,792.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 11:05am ET | $190.51 | 65 | $12,382.97 | $12,448.99 |
+$590.67 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 10:35am ET | $203.74 | 61 | $12,428.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 10:35am ET | $206.96 | 61 | $12,624.56 | $12,645.41 |
+$196.42 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $218.10 | 57 | $12,431.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $229.52 | 57 | $13,082.63 | $13,296.63 |
+$651.22 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 10:50am ET | $221.04 | 60 | $13,262.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 11:05am ET | $232.24 | 60 | $13,934.10 | $13,968.33 |
+$671.70 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 9:45am ET | $231.11 | 60 | $13,866.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 9:40am ET | $223.52 | 60 | $13,411.20 | $13,512.93 |
$-455.40 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $219.81 | 61 | $13,408.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 9:40am ET | $213.20 | 61 | $13,005.20 | $13,110.02 |
$-402.91 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 9:55am ET | $225.36 | 58 | $13,070.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET | $218.54 | 58 | $12,675.32 | $12,714.46 |
$-395.56 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $227.54 | 55 | $12,514.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 12:00pm ET | $239.34 | 55 | $13,163.70 | $13,363.46 |
+$649.00 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $237.25 | 56 | $13,286.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $224.82 | 56 | $12,589.92 | $12,667.38 |
$-696.08 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $203.01 | 62 | $12,586.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $208.92 | 62 | $12,952.88 | $13,033.34 |
+$365.95 (+2.9%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $207.52 | 62 | $12,866.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $212.59 | 62 | $13,180.58 | $13,347.37 |
+$314.03 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $201.77 | 66 | $13,317.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:15am ET | $211.96 | 66 | $13,989.47 | $14,019.69 |
+$672.32 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:20am ET | $258.24 | 54 | $13,945.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:10am ET | $271.85 | 54 | $14,679.90 | $14,754.36 |
+$734.67 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,754.36
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,754.36
Total Return:
+47.54%