ARKK Danny Dip's Analysis
2024-01-03 14:30:00+00 to 2026-05-06 15:10:00+00 • 65 trades executed
+52.23%
2 Years Return
$18,418.62
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$12,099.41
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
40
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.7/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality
44.6/100
× Confidence 0.90
= 40.1
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
60,763
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
533 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$12,099.41
Current Value
$18,418.62
Total P&L
$6,319.24
Max Drawdown
-21.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
55
Winners / Losers
28 /
27
Best Trade
+7.24%
Worst Trade
-5.27%
Avg Trade Return
+0.86%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,733,556.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,319.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,319.24
Gross Return
+52.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+52.23%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 533 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $12,099.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 11, 2024 12:00pm ET | $45.71 | 264 | $12,066.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2024 11:00am ET | $48.01 | 264 | $12,674.64 | $12,707.92 |
+$608.52 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2024 9:30am ET | $46.31 | 274 | $12,688.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2024 3:50pm ET | $44.71 | 274 | $12,250.54 | $12,269.52 |
$-438.40 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2024 11:30am ET | $44.03 | 278 | $12,240.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $41.71 | 278 | $11,595.38 | $11,624.56 |
$-644.96 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $37.59 | 309 | $11,615.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 11:10am ET | $39.62 | 309 | $12,242.58 | $12,251.83 |
+$627.27 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2024 2:10pm ET | $39.66 | 308 | $12,215.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 9, 2024 11:00am ET | $41.69 | 308 | $12,838.98 | $12,875.53 |
+$623.70 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 6, 2024 10:25am ET | $42.47 | 303 | $12,866.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2024 12:00pm ET | $44.60 | 303 | $13,512.29 | $13,520.92 |
+$645.39 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2024 10:15am ET | $46.09 | 293 | $13,502.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2024 10:15am ET | $47.49 | 293 | $13,914.57 | $13,932.59 |
+$411.67 (+3.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2024 9:30am ET | $47.24 | 294 | $13,888.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2024 2:30pm ET | $45.82 | 294 | $13,469.61 | $13,513.64 |
$-418.95 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 15, 2024 9:35am ET | $52.97 | 255 | $13,507.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2024 12:15pm ET | $55.62 | 255 | $14,183.41 | $14,189.69 |
+$676.06 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 10:50am ET | $61.37 | 231 | $14,176.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 3:25pm ET | $59.06 | 231 | $13,642.86 | $13,656.08 |
$-533.61 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 27, 2024 10:00am ET | $59.07 | 231 | $13,645.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2024 9:55am ET | $57.00 | 231 | $13,167.00 | $13,177.91 |
$-478.17 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2025 10:30am ET | $59.54 | 221 | $13,158.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $57.50 | 221 | $12,707.50 | $12,727.07 |
$-450.84 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $55.63 | 228 | $12,683.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $58.61 | 228 | $13,363.08 | $13,406.51 |
+$679.44 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $60.13 | 222 | $13,348.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $63.18 | 222 | $14,025.96 | $14,083.61 |
+$677.10 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $60.67 | 232 | $14,075.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2025 11:50am ET | $63.75 | 232 | $14,790.00 | $14,798.17 |
+$714.56 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2025 9:35am ET | $64.55 | 229 | $14,782.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 21, 2025 10:25am ET | $62.60 | 229 | $14,335.42 | $14,350.68 |
$-447.49 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2025 10:25am ET | $58.20 | 246 | $14,317.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $56.19 | 246 | $13,821.51 | $13,854.99 |
$-495.69 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2025 9:55am ET | $55.77 | 248 | $13,830.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $53.26 | 248 | $13,208.48 | $13,232.51 |
$-622.48 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 3:20pm ET | $52.95 | 249 | $13,184.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 9:40am ET | $51.26 | 249 | $12,763.74 | $12,811.70 |
$-420.81 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2025 9:55am ET | $52.84 | 242 | $12,787.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2025 10:35am ET | $51.11 | 242 | $12,368.62 | $12,393.04 |
$-418.66 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 10:35am ET | $48.95 | 253 | $12,384.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 2:55pm ET | $47.40 | 253 | $11,992.20 | $12,000.89 |
$-392.15 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $48.64 | 246 | $11,965.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 1:15pm ET | $47.09 | 246 | $11,583.65 | $11,619.10 |
$-381.79 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $48.71 | 238 | $11,592.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 21, 2025 12:55pm ET | $51.17 | 238 | $12,178.46 | $12,204.58 |
+$585.48 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2025 10:20am ET | $52.32 | 233 | $12,190.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $50.18 | 233 | $11,691.94 | $11,705.96 |
$-498.62 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.08 | 254 | $11,704.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2025 11:20am ET | $48.41 | 254 | $12,294.87 | $12,296.51 |
+$590.55 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.32 | 265 | $12,274.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:45am ET | $44.87 | 265 | $11,889.23 | $11,910.91 |
$-385.60 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 10:45am ET | $40.45 | 294 | $11,892.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 11:10am ET | $42.53 | 294 | $12,503.82 | $12,522.43 |
+$611.52 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
24m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 11:10am ET | $41.31 | 303 | $12,516.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $44.30 | 303 | $13,422.90 | $13,428.40 |
+$905.97 (+7.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 10:55am ET | $40.55 | 331 | $13,422.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET | $42.95 | 331 | $14,216.45 | $14,222.80 |
+$794.40 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 3:40pm ET | $43.76 | 325 | $14,220.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $45.97 | 325 | $14,940.25 | $14,942.68 |
+$719.87 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $49.81 | 300 | $14,941.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 2, 2025 12:10pm ET | $52.33 | 300 | $15,697.50 | $15,698.68 |
+$756.00 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $49.23 | 318 | $15,653.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 12:10pm ET | $51.72 | 318 | $16,446.96 | $16,492.09 |
+$793.41 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 10:30am ET | $55.87 | 295 | $16,481.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 10:30am ET | $56.77 | 295 | $16,745.68 | $16,756.11 |
+$264.03 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2025 3:15pm ET | $55.83 | 300 | $16,749.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2025 9:35am ET | $59.00 | 300 | $17,700.00 | $17,707.11 |
+$951.00 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 12:25pm ET | $67.47 | 262 | $17,677.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $71.11 | 262 | $18,630.82 | $18,660.27 |
+$953.16 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET | $74.67 | 249 | $18,592.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $71.79 | 249 | $17,875.71 | $17,943.15 |
$-717.12 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 10:55am ET | $74.82 | 239 | $17,881.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 9:45am ET | $72.24 | 239 | $17,265.36 | $17,326.53 |
$-616.62 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 11:00am ET | $73.72 | 235 | $17,324.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 9:55am ET | $77.46 | 235 | $18,203.10 | $18,205.43 |
+$878.90 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 2:50pm ET | $79.07 | 230 | $18,184.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 11:15am ET | $83.04 | 230 | $19,099.20 | $19,119.68 |
+$914.25 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $80.97 | 236 | $19,108.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 1:25pm ET | $85.11 | 236 | $20,085.96 | $20,096.72 |
+$977.04 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $89.22 | 225 | $20,074.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 3:35pm ET | $86.27 | 225 | $19,410.75 | $19,432.97 |
$-663.75 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $84.83 | 229 | $19,426.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 9:55am ET | $89.29 | 229 | $20,447.48 | $20,454.38 |
+$1,021.41 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET | $85.67 | 238 | $20,389.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:35am ET | $90.08 | 238 | $21,439.04 | $21,503.96 |
+$1,049.58 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $84.66 | 254 | $21,503.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:35am ET | $81.91 | 254 | $20,805.14 | $20,805.46 |
$-698.50 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:35am ET | $78.58 | 264 | $20,745.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $83.24 | 264 | $21,974.57 | $22,034.90 |
+$1,229.45 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $78.91 | 279 | $22,015.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $74.83 | 279 | $20,877.57 | $20,896.58 |
$-1,138.32 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET | $74.49 | 280 | $20,857.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET | $72.09 | 280 | $20,185.20 | $20,224.58 |
$-672.00 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 10:30am ET | $77.20 | 261 | $20,149.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:25am ET | $81.32 | 261 | $21,224.52 | $21,299.90 |
+$1,075.32 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:50am ET | $81.18 | 262 | $21,269.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 1:45pm ET | $78.63 | 262 | $20,601.06 | $20,631.80 |
$-668.10 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $76.67 | 269 | $20,624.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.28 | 269 | $19,981.32 | $19,988.89 |
$-642.91 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $70.77 | 282 | $19,957.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:15pm ET | $68.59 | 282 | $19,342.38 | $19,374.13 |
$-614.76 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $72.31 | 267 | $19,306.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $69.98 | 267 | $18,684.66 | $18,752.02 |
$-622.11 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.83 | 268 | $18,714.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 2:00pm ET | $67.67 | 268 | $18,135.56 | $18,173.14 |
$-578.88 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.05 | 275 | $18,163.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $69.46 | 275 | $19,101.50 | $19,110.89 |
+$937.75 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $76.93 | 248 | $19,078.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.14 | 248 | $18,386.72 | $18,418.62 |
$-692.27 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$18,418.62
Net Profit/Loss:
+$8,418.62
Total Return:
+84.19%