COP Danny Dip's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 32 trades executed
+0.56%
2 Years Return
$9,738.17
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$9,683.64
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
8
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
3.6/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
11.1/100
× Confidence 0.76
= 8.4
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
47,099
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
518 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,683.64
Current Value
$9,738.17
Total P&L
$54.53
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
31
Winners / Losers
14 /
17
Best Trade
+6.14%
Worst Trade
-4.56%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
5.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$580,640.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$54.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$54.53
Gross Return
+0.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.56%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 518 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,683.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2024 9:35am ET | $115.55 | 83 | $9,590.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $111.95 | 83 | $9,291.85 | $9,384.84 |
$-298.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 2, 2024 10:40am ET | $105.67 | 88 | $9,298.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2024 11:25am ET | $111.05 | 88 | $9,772.40 | $9,858.28 |
+$473.44 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2024 9:35am ET | $110.23 | 89 | $9,810.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 6, 2024 10:50am ET | $106.72 | 89 | $9,498.08 | $9,546.34 |
$-311.95 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2024 9:55am ET | $102.92 | 92 | $9,468.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2024 10:55am ET | $108.19 | 92 | $9,953.48 | $10,031.18 |
+$484.84 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2024 9:40am ET | $111.07 | 90 | $9,995.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $106.00 | 90 | $9,540.00 | $9,575.33 |
$-455.85 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2024 10:45am ET | $108.51 | 88 | $9,548.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2024 9:40am ET | $105.20 | 88 | $9,257.60 | $9,284.05 |
$-291.28 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 1:25pm ET | $94.72 | 98 | $9,282.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 3:35pm ET | $91.75 | 98 | $8,991.01 | $8,992.50 |
$-291.55 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $88.59 | 101 | $8,947.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 11:05am ET | $93.27 | 101 | $9,420.27 | $9,465.68 |
+$473.19 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $100.37 | 94 | $9,434.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 10:30am ET | $97.12 | 94 | $9,129.28 | $9,160.65 |
$-305.03 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 10:30am ET | $87.09 | 105 | $9,144.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $83.78 | 105 | $8,796.90 | $8,813.10 |
$-347.55 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 11:10am ET | $84.69 | 104 | $8,807.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 3:35pm ET | $81.74 | 104 | $8,500.96 | $8,506.30 |
$-306.80 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $87.15 | 97 | $8,453.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2025 9:55am ET | $84.39 | 97 | $8,185.83 | $8,238.58 |
$-267.72 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
24m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.71 | 95 | $8,237.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $91.19 | 95 | $8,662.58 | $8,663.71 |
+$425.13 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:50am ET | $89.22 | 97 | $8,654.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $93.70 | 97 | $9,088.90 | $9,098.27 |
+$434.56 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $85.30 | 106 | $9,041.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $86.44 | 106 | $9,162.64 | $9,219.64 |
+$121.37 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 10:35am ET | $94.08 | 98 | $9,219.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $90.60 | 98 | $8,878.80 | $8,879.08 |
$-340.55 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 10:05am ET | $92.77 | 95 | $8,813.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 10:05am ET | $94.76 | 95 | $9,002.20 | $9,068.14 |
+$189.05 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $95.70 | 94 | $8,995.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 11:05am ET | $92.72 | 94 | $8,715.68 | $8,788.01 |
$-280.12 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 9:40am ET | $95.44 | 92 | $8,780.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 10:35am ET | $92.53 | 92 | $8,512.76 | $8,520.30 |
$-267.72 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $87.25 | 97 | $8,463.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $90.29 | 97 | $8,757.94 | $8,814.98 |
+$294.69 (+3.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:15am ET | $91.52 | 96 | $8,785.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 10:15am ET | $93.56 | 96 | $8,981.76 | $9,011.04 |
+$196.06 (+2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $98.18 | 91 | $8,933.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 12:10pm ET | $94.97 | 91 | $8,642.27 | $8,719.39 |
$-291.66 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $95.98 | 90 | $8,638.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 2:05pm ET | $100.91 | 90 | $9,081.90 | $9,163.09 |
+$443.70 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $100.65 | 91 | $9,159.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.82 | 91 | $9,721.07 | $9,725.01 |
+$561.92 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $104.54 | 93 | $9,722.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $108.65 | 93 | $10,104.45 | $10,107.24 |
+$382.23 (+3.9%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $108.18 | 93 | $10,060.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:45am ET | $113.59 | 93 | $10,563.87 | $10,610.37 |
+$503.13 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.13 | 86 | $10,589.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $129.64 | 86 | $11,149.04 | $11,170.23 |
+$559.86 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET | $130.82 | 85 | $11,120.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $126.79 | 85 | $10,777.15 | $10,827.26 |
$-342.97 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.76 | 88 | $10,802.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $118.95 | 88 | $10,467.60 | $10,491.98 |
$-335.28 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $115.88 | 90 | $10,429.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:45am ET | $112.32 | 90 | $10,108.35 | $10,171.13 |
$-320.85 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:10am ET | $122.73 | 82 | $10,063.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.45 | 82 | $9,630.90 | $9,738.17 |
$-432.96 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,738.17
Net Profit/Loss:
$-261.83
Total Return:
-2.62%