Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 04:17:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 53%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
6.7/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 18.5/100
× Confidence 0.53 = 9.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (53%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
86,124
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,310.75
Current Value
$10,541.83
Total P&L
$231.07
Max Drawdown
-11.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+6.74%
Worst Trade
-6.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$179,140.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$231.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$231.07
Gross Return
+2.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,310.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2024 10:50am ET $218.31 47 $10,260.57
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $208.80 47 $9,813.60 $9,863.78 $-446.97
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $196.96 50 $9,848.00
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2024 2:20pm ET $206.90 50 $10,345.00 $10,360.78 +$497.00
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 2:50pm ET $225.74 45 $10,158.30
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2024 9:45am ET $218.40 45 $9,828.13 $10,030.61 $-330.17
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $204.88 48 $9,834.24
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2025 1:25pm ET $198.73 48 $9,539.04 $9,735.41 $-295.20
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $194.93 49 $9,551.33
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $182.93 49 $8,963.57 $9,147.66 $-587.76
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $174.87 52 $9,093.24
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $186.65 52 $9,705.80 $9,760.22 +$612.56
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
42m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $176.61 55 $9,713.55
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:30pm ET $188.06 55 $10,343.30 $10,389.97 +$629.75
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:50am ET $213.55 48 $10,250.40
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 10:45am ET $224.23 48 $10,763.04 $10,902.61 +$512.64
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $255.83 42 $10,744.86
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $247.24 42 $10,384.08 $10,541.83 $-360.78
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,541.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$541.83
Total Return: +5.42%
Back to Danny Dip