PANW Danny Dip's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 48 trades executed
-19.97%
2 Years Return
$8,417.87
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$10,518.01
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
5.0/100
× Confidence 0.85
= 4.2
30-Day Momentum
25
+6.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 41.2
Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
52,788
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
532 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,518.01
Current Value
$8,417.87
Total P&L
$-2,100.16
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
43
Winners / Losers
16 /
27
Best Trade
+9.98%
Worst Trade
-9.55%
Avg Trade Return
-0.31%
Avg Hold Time
4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$835,460.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,100.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,100.16
Gross Return
-19.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.97%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 532 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,518.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2024 10:25am ET | $142.06 | 70 | $9,944.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $149.89 | 70 | $10,491.95 | $10,614.96 |
+$547.75 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2024 9:30am ET | $152.27 | 69 | $10,506.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 24, 2024 11:05am ET | $160.20 | 69 | $11,053.80 | $11,162.48 |
+$547.52 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2024 10:35am ET | $149.15 | 74 | $11,036.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 31, 2024 10:55am ET | $144.61 | 74 | $10,701.33 | $10,827.07 |
$-335.41 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2024 10:20am ET | $166.29 | 65 | $10,808.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2024 3:00pm ET | $161.25 | 65 | $10,481.25 | $10,499.47 |
$-327.60 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $151.50 | 69 | $10,453.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $146.41 | 69 | $10,102.12 | $10,148.09 |
$-351.38 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 16, 2024 10:45am ET | $166.38 | 60 | $9,983.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $183.00 | 60 | $10,979.70 | $11,144.70 |
+$996.61 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2024 9:35am ET | $172.52 | 64 | $11,041.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 6, 2024 1:35pm ET | $167.25 | 64 | $10,703.68 | $10,806.94 |
$-337.76 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2024 10:10am ET | $168.50 | 64 | $10,784.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2024 10:10am ET | $170.87 | 64 | $10,935.36 | $10,958.30 |
+$151.36 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2024 9:40am ET | $181.79 | 60 | $10,907.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $191.41 | 60 | $11,484.30 | $11,535.20 |
+$576.90 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2024 10:05am ET | $193.94 | 59 | $11,442.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 22, 2024 12:15pm ET | $188.12 | 59 | $11,098.79 | $11,191.29 |
$-343.91 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 10:20am ET | $198.18 | 56 | $11,098.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 2:45pm ET | $192.18 | 56 | $10,762.08 | $10,855.09 |
$-336.20 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 27, 2024 10:30am ET | $183.23 | 59 | $10,810.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2025 9:35am ET | $177.64 | 59 | $10,480.76 | $10,525.28 |
$-329.81 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2025 10:35am ET | $173.81 | 60 | $10,428.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2025 9:55am ET | $168.25 | 60 | $10,095.00 | $10,191.98 |
$-333.30 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $168.40 | 60 | $10,104.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2025 10:55am ET | $177.49 | 60 | $10,649.40 | $10,737.38 |
+$545.40 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2025 9:40am ET | $186.93 | 57 | $10,655.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $181.29 | 57 | $10,333.53 | $10,415.90 |
$-321.48 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $190.65 | 54 | $10,295.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 14, 2025 2:50pm ET | $200.55 | 54 | $10,829.43 | $10,950.23 |
+$534.33 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $200.26 | 54 | $10,813.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 21, 2025 12:10pm ET | $194.00 | 54 | $10,476.00 | $10,612.46 |
$-337.77 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2025 10:15am ET | $185.93 | 57 | $10,598.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 10:15am ET | $179.64 | 57 | $10,239.20 | $10,253.65 |
$-358.82 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2025 10:25am ET | $180.82 | 56 | $10,125.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 7, 2025 11:40am ET | $175.26 | 56 | $9,814.56 | $9,942.57 |
$-311.08 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2025 9:35am ET | $179.07 | 55 | $9,848.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 28, 2025 10:05am ET | $173.30 | 55 | $9,531.23 | $9,624.94 |
$-317.63 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2025 10:15am ET | $167.07 | 57 | $9,522.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $158.92 | 57 | $9,058.16 | $9,160.11 |
$-464.84 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $148.15 | 61 | $9,036.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2025 10:15am ET | $156.60 | 61 | $9,552.68 | $9,675.94 |
+$515.84 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
48m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 1:05pm ET | $155.08 | 62 | $9,614.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET | $163.33 | 62 | $10,126.46 | $10,187.75 |
+$511.81 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $162.57 | 62 | $10,079.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $171.93 | 62 | $10,659.66 | $10,768.38 |
+$580.63 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $163.89 | 65 | $10,652.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 1:05pm ET | $158.84 | 65 | $10,324.60 | $10,440.46 |
$-327.92 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $180.69 | 57 | $10,299.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2025 12:00pm ET | $189.74 | 57 | $10,815.35 | $10,956.48 |
+$516.02 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 10:45am ET | $198.53 | 55 | $10,918.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2025 3:15pm ET | $192.06 | 55 | $10,563.30 | $10,600.90 |
$-355.58 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2025 12:15pm ET | $197.84 | 53 | $10,485.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $178.94 | 53 | $9,483.82 | $9,599.47 |
$-1,001.44 (-9.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $176.10 | 54 | $9,509.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $170.37 | 54 | $9,199.98 | $9,290.05 |
$-309.42 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 10:35am ET | $167.56 | 55 | $9,215.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $178.23 | 55 | $9,802.65 | $9,876.90 |
+$586.85 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $216.32 | 45 | $9,734.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET | $209.13 | 45 | $9,410.85 | $9,553.35 |
$-323.55 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:05am ET | $192.62 | 49 | $9,438.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:15pm ET | $186.67 | 49 | $9,146.83 | $9,262.04 |
$-291.31 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $183.09 | 50 | $9,154.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $176.50 | 50 | $8,825.00 | $8,932.79 |
$-329.25 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $169.27 | 52 | $8,802.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:35pm ET | $164.14 | 52 | $8,535.28 | $8,666.03 |
$-266.76 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $162.26 | 53 | $8,600.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $157.24 | 53 | $8,333.72 | $8,399.71 |
$-266.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $161.73 | 51 | $8,248.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.51 | 51 | $7,573.76 | $7,725.24 |
$-674.47 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 1:15pm ET | $152.45 | 50 | $7,622.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.64 | 50 | $7,382.00 | $7,484.99 |
$-240.25 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $144.78 | 51 | $7,383.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:40am ET | $152.16 | 51 | $7,760.16 | $7,861.37 |
+$376.38 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $165.31 | 47 | $7,769.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $158.08 | 47 | $7,429.76 | $7,521.47 |
$-339.90 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.33 | 51 | $7,513.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $155.27 | 51 | $7,918.77 | $7,926.41 |
+$404.94 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $168.37 | 47 | $7,913.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $161.76 | 47 | $7,602.49 | $7,615.51 |
$-310.90 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.73 | 43 | $7,470.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $182.50 | 43 | $7,847.50 | $7,992.62 |
+$377.11 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $175.20 | 45 | $7,884.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $184.65 | 45 | $8,309.25 | $8,417.87 |
+$425.25 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,417.87
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,582.13
Total Return:
-15.82%