Compendium › Danny Dip › PEP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PEP
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 9 trades executed

-12.67%
2 Years Return
$9,194.51
Current Value
14%
Win Rate
$10,528.10
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 04:17:24

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 18%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
42.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
12.5/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.18 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (18%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,886
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
524 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,528.10
Current Value
$9,194.51
Total P&L
$-1,333.60
Max Drawdown
-13.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.62

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
1 / 6
Best Trade
+5.22%
Worst Trade
-4.51%
Avg Trade Return
-1.89%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$139,384.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,333.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,333.60
Gross Return
-12.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 524 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,528.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 15, 2024 9:55am ET $161.13 65 $10,473.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2024 9:45am ET $155.92 65 $10,134.80 $10,189.78 $-338.33
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2025 10:25am ET $144.48 70 $10,113.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2025 10:25am ET $142.61 70 $9,982.70 $10,059.21 $-130.56
(-1.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2025 11:00am ET $151.74 66 $10,014.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 10:15am ET $159.65 66 $10,536.90 $10,581.60 +$522.39
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 10:05am ET $152.03 69 $10,489.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2025 10:50am ET $147.29 69 $10,163.01 $10,254.89 $-326.72
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 12:10pm ET $149.34 68 $10,155.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $142.60 68 $9,696.80 $9,796.57 $-458.32
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 10:20am ET $137.57 71 $9,767.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 25, 2025 9:45am ET $133.07 71 $9,447.97 $9,477.07 $-319.50
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 10:25am ET $146.03 64 $9,345.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 2:20pm ET $141.61 64 $9,063.04 $9,194.51 $-282.56
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,194.51
Net Profit/Loss: $-805.49
Total Return: -8.05%
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