Compendium › Danny Dip › PG
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PG
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 6 trades executed

+8.78%
2 Years Return
$10,877.84
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:55:37

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 12%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
65.4/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
39.4/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
27.5/10
Raw Quality 262.6/100
× Confidence 0.12 = 32.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (12%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
47,516
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
522 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,877.84
Total P&L
$877.85
Max Drawdown
-3.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.38

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+6.14%
Worst Trade
-3.31%
Avg Trade Return
+1.51%
Avg Hold Time
7.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$132,243.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$877.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$877.85
Gross Return
+8.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 522 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2024 9:30am ET $159.40 62 $9,882.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $169.19 62 $10,489.78 $10,606.98 +$606.98
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 14, 2025 9:30am ET $165.95 63 $10,454.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET $174.14 63 $10,970.51 $11,122.64 +$515.66
(+4.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $160.45 69 $11,071.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2025 9:50am ET $168.58 69 $11,631.68 $11,683.26 +$560.63
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 9:30am ET $160.22 72 $11,535.84 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $159.01 72 $11,448.72 $11,596.14 $-87.12
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 9:35am ET $143.01 81 $11,583.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 3:20pm ET $138.71 81 $11,235.11 $11,247.44 $-348.70
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:55am ET $159.35 70 $11,154.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET $154.07 70 $10,784.90 $10,877.84 $-369.60
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,877.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$877.84
Total Return: +8.78%
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