Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:51:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
42.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
-1.5%
EMA20 Dist
-1.8%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

0
-15.9%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
36,090
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
519 days
Data Gaps
15 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2024-06-14 (16 candles), 2024-07-03 (30 candles), 2024-11-14 (18 candles), 2024-11-29 (no data), 2024-12-18 (37 candles), 2024-12-24 (30 candles), 2025-04-25 (14 candles), 2025-04-30 (37 candles), 2025-05-19 (34 candles), 2025-06-09 (38 candles), 2025-07-03 (24 candles), 2025-09-16 (36 candles), 2025-10-21 (28 candles), 2025-10-28 (38 candles), 2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (22 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-11 — Veterans Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day ... and 2 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,196.65
Current Value
$7,552.77
Total P&L
$-1,643.90
Max Drawdown
-27.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
54
Winners / Losers
20 / 34
Best Trade
+8.63%
Worst Trade
-10.61%
Avg Trade Return
-0.30%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$973,904.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,643.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,643.90
Gross Return
-17.87%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPXU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 519 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,196.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 1, 2024 2:40pm ET $143.20 66 $9,451.20
🔴 SELL May 6, 2024 9:30am ET $137.84 66 $9,097.44 $9,112.18 $-353.76
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 31, 2024 3:55pm ET $128.84 70 $9,018.80
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2024 1:10pm ET $124.96 70 $8,747.17 $8,840.55 $-271.63
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2024 9:30am ET $119.58 73 $8,728.99
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2024 9:55am ET $115.88 73 $8,459.24 $8,570.80 $-269.75
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2024 12:00pm ET $111.36 76 $8,463.18
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2024 10:20am ET $106.60 76 $8,101.60 $8,209.23 $-361.58
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2024 1:35pm ET $109.92 74 $8,134.08
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2024 11:15am ET $115.80 74 $8,569.17 $8,644.32 +$435.09
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2024 9:50am ET $113.48 76 $8,624.48
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 9:40am ET $121.44 76 $9,229.44 $9,249.28 +$604.96
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2024 9:55am ET $128.60 71 $9,130.60
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 2:15pm ET $123.84 71 $8,792.64 $8,911.32 $-337.96
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2024 9:40am ET $112.16 79 $8,860.64
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2024 9:45am ET $108.68 79 $8,585.72 $8,636.40 $-274.92
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 23, 2024 3:10pm ET $105.24 82 $8,629.68
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2024 3:35pm ET $111.48 82 $9,141.36 $9,148.08 +$511.68
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2024 12:50pm ET $113.94 80 $9,115.20
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2024 3:20pm ET $110.48 80 $8,838.43 $8,871.31 $-276.77
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2024 9:40am ET $101.61 87 $8,840.24
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2024 9:55am ET $97.94 87 $8,520.78 $8,551.85 $-319.46
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2024 3:35pm ET $97.24 87 $8,459.85
🔴 SELL Oct 11, 2024 3:25pm ET $94.26 87 $8,200.55 $8,292.55 $-259.29
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 25, 2024 10:35am ET $92.82 89 $8,260.98
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2024 9:50am ET $98.18 89 $8,738.41 $8,769.98 +$477.43
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2024 2:10pm ET $97.15 90 $8,743.86
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 9:35am ET $90.64 90 $8,157.60 $8,183.72 $-586.26
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2024 9:45am ET $88.82 92 $8,171.44
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2024 11:15am ET $86.08 92 $7,919.36 $7,931.64 $-252.08
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 3, 2025 9:40am ET $87.39 90 $7,865.28
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2025 10:05am ET $84.76 90 $7,628.40 $7,694.76 $-236.88
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2025 10:20am ET $91.55 84 $7,689.90
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 9:50am ET $87.86 84 $7,380.07 $7,384.94 $-309.83
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2025 11:35am ET $81.12 91 $7,381.96
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 10:00am ET $85.32 91 $7,764.12 $7,767.10 +$382.16
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2025 10:15am ET $80.84 96 $7,760.68
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2025 9:55am ET $87.82 96 $8,430.72 $8,437.14 +$670.04
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2025 11:15am ET $81.72 103 $8,417.08
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2025 10:40am ET $85.99 103 $8,857.46 $8,877.53 +$440.39
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $86.32 102 $8,804.64
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 3:00pm ET $91.86 102 $9,369.72 $9,442.61 +$565.08
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 2:25pm ET $95.52 98 $9,360.96
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 10:45am ET $101.48 98 $9,945.04 $10,026.69 +$584.08
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 14, 2025 10:20am ET $105.39 95 $10,012.43
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2025 9:45am ET $101.14 95 $9,608.30 $9,622.56 $-404.13
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2025 9:35am ET $96.68 99 $9,570.92
🔴 SELL Mar 28, 2025 10:30am ET $102.32 99 $10,129.68 $10,181.31 +$558.76
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 11:00am ET $124.68 81 $10,099.08
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 2:40pm ET $133.80 81 $10,837.80 $10,920.03 +$738.72
(+7.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 11, 2025 12:20pm ET $110.24 99 $10,913.76
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 1:50pm ET $104.92 99 $10,387.08 $10,393.35 $-526.68
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2025 12:20pm ET $108.96 95 $10,350.82
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 9:45am ET $114.96 95 $10,921.20 $10,963.73 +$570.38
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 2:00pm ET $98.48 111 $10,931.28
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2025 9:30am ET $94.82 111 $10,525.02 $10,557.47 $-406.26
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
29 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 2:20pm ET $89.84 117 $10,511.37
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 10:10am ET $81.20 117 $9,500.40 $9,546.50 $-1,010.97
(-9.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
30 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 3:15pm ET $75.84 125 $9,480.00
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 10:20am ET $80.02 125 $10,002.50 $10,069.00 +$522.50
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
31 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 9:35am ET $77.84 129 $10,041.36
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 3:55pm ET $75.24 129 $9,706.01 $9,733.65 $-335.35
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2025 9:40am ET $74.83 130 $9,728.16
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 9:40am ET $76.48 130 $9,942.45 $9,947.94 +$214.29
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 27, 2025 9:35am ET $68.56 145 $9,941.20
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 10:10am ET $65.13 145 $9,444.08 $9,450.83 $-497.12
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 10:20am ET $61.42 153 $9,397.26
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 10:15am ET $66.48 153 $10,171.50 $10,225.07 +$774.24
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
35 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 9:30am ET $62.12 164 $10,187.61
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 11:20am ET $60.14 164 $9,862.96 $9,900.41 $-324.65
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
36 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 10:15am ET $60.32 164 $9,892.48
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:15am ET $59.68 164 $9,787.39 $9,795.32 $-105.09
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 1:40pm ET $57.04 171 $9,753.84
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 3:15pm ET $55.30 171 $9,456.30 $9,497.78 $-297.54
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
38 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 9:35am ET $55.44 171 $9,480.24
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 9:50am ET $53.71 171 $9,184.14 $9,201.68 $-296.10
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
39 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 1:40pm ET $52.69 174 $9,168.76
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:40am ET $50.10 174 $8,717.40 $8,750.32 $-451.36
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
40 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $50.96 171 $8,714.09
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 10:10am ET $53.56 171 $9,158.76 $9,194.99 +$444.67
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
41 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 12:05pm ET $54.28 169 $9,173.32
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:35am ET $57.02 169 $9,636.38 $9,658.05 +$463.06
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
42 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $53.75 179 $9,621.25
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:35am ET $52.10 179 $9,325.90 $9,362.70 $-295.35
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
43 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 10:00am ET $51.79 180 $9,322.20
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $50.17 180 $9,030.60 $9,071.10 $-291.60
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
44 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:35am ET $49.43 183 $9,045.69
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $47.95 183 $8,773.94 $8,799.35 $-271.76
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
45 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $49.51 177 $8,762.39
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $47.84 177 $8,467.68 $8,504.64 $-294.71
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
46 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:25am ET $49.86 170 $8,476.22
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $48.25 170 $8,202.50 $8,230.92 $-273.72
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
47 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET $51.21 160 $8,193.60
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:20am ET $49.66 160 $7,945.62 $7,982.94 $-247.98
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
48 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $51.29 155 $7,949.95
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $53.94 155 $8,360.70 $8,393.69 +$410.75
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
49 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $53.36 157 $8,377.52
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $56.42 157 $8,857.94 $8,874.11 +$480.42
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
50 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $55.55 159 $8,832.45
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $58.36 159 $9,279.24 $9,320.90 +$446.79
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3d held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $59.95 155 $9,292.25
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $57.79 155 $8,957.45 $8,986.10 $-334.80
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $56.15 160 $8,984.16
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $50.19 160 $8,030.56 $8,032.50 $-953.60
(-10.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $47.43 169 $8,015.67
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:15am ET $46.00 169 $7,774.00 $7,790.83 $-241.67
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:00am ET $43.92 177 $7,773.84
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $42.58 177 $7,535.78 $7,552.77 $-238.06
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,552.77
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,447.23
Total Return: -24.47%
Back to Danny Dip