Compendium › Danny Dip › TMO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TMO
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 20 trades executed

-19.23%
2 Years Return
$8,578.71
Current Value
28%
Win Rate
$10,620.55
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:48:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 3.3/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 2.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
41,102
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
505 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,620.55
Current Value
$8,578.71
Total P&L
$-2,041.84
Max Drawdown
-21.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.30

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
18
Winners / Losers
5 / 13
Best Trade
+5.32%
Worst Trade
-4.86%
Avg Trade Return
-1.08%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$348,039.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,041.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,041.84
Gross Return
-19.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 505 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,620.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2024 10:40am ET $567.37 18 $10,212.66 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2024 10:40am ET $572.65 18 $10,307.61 $10,560.16 +$94.95
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
2 🟢 BUY May 30, 2024 9:40am ET $552.11 19 $10,490.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 6, 2024 2:30pm ET $579.74 19 $11,015.06 $11,085.13 +$524.97
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2024 9:55am ET $569.36 19 $10,817.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2024 12:30pm ET $551.53 19 $10,479.07 $10,746.36 $-338.77
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 15, 2024 9:55am ET $519.86 20 $10,397.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2024 11:40am ET $503.83 20 $10,076.60 $10,425.76 $-320.60
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 11:30am ET $544.43 19 $10,344.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2025 10:15am ET $572.08 19 $10,869.43 $10,951.02 +$525.26
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2025 9:35am ET $552.40 19 $10,495.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2025 9:45am ET $535.58 19 $10,176.02 $10,631.44 $-319.58
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 10:15am ET $484.69 21 $10,178.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 3:30pm ET $469.25 21 $9,854.25 $10,307.30 $-324.14
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $426.82 24 $10,243.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:15am ET $448.36 24 $10,760.64 $10,824.26 +$516.96
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
48m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 1:30pm ET $426.71 25 $10,667.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $412.27 25 $10,306.75 $10,463.26 $-361.00
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:35am ET $435.93 24 $10,462.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 11:20am ET $422.41 24 $10,137.84 $10,138.78 $-324.48
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 10:50am ET $442.26 22 $9,729.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 9:30am ET $420.79 22 $9,257.27 $9,666.33 $-472.45
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
12 🟢 BUY May 14, 2025 10:05am ET $417.74 23 $9,608.02 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 9:30am ET $398.81 23 $9,172.63 $9,230.94 $-435.39
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:50am ET $460.38 20 $9,207.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 3:00pm ET $446.33 20 $8,926.60 $8,950.04 $-280.90
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:45am ET $566.54 15 $8,498.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 9:45am ET $566.39 15 $8,495.85 $8,947.76 $-2.28
(-0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $575.87 15 $8,637.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET $558.04 15 $8,370.60 $8,680.38 $-267.38
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $495.55 17 $8,424.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:50am ET $479.79 17 $8,156.43 $8,412.46 $-267.92
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET $475.04 17 $8,075.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:45am ET $500.30 17 $8,505.18 $8,841.96 +$429.50
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $470.67 18 $8,471.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $456.04 18 $8,208.72 $8,578.71 $-263.25
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,578.71
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,421.29
Total Return: -14.21%
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