Compendium › Danny Dip › VRTX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VRTX
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 17 trades executed

-9.75%
2 Years Return
$9,474.65
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$10,498.76
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 04:17:16

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 56%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 7.7/100
× Confidence 0.56 = 4.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (56%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
41,404
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
506 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,498.76
Current Value
$9,474.65
Total P&L
$-1,024.11
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
16
Winners / Losers
7 / 9
Best Trade
+5.30%
Worst Trade
-13.24%
Avg Trade Return
-0.52%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$305,011.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,024.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,024.11
Gross Return
-9.75%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 506 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,498.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $473.18 22 $10,409.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2024 9:30am ET $478.91 22 $10,536.02 $10,624.82 +$126.06
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2024 9:50am ET $481.52 22 $10,593.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2024 10:20am ET $467.00 22 $10,274.00 $10,305.38 $-319.44
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 18, 2024 9:50am ET $483.65 21 $10,156.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2024 10:15am ET $468.47 21 $9,837.87 $9,986.60 $-318.78
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 15, 2024 9:35am ET $472.10 21 $9,914.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2024 12:45pm ET $457.62 21 $9,610.02 $9,682.52 $-304.08
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 2:10pm ET $454.90 21 $9,552.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2024 9:30am ET $394.68 21 $8,288.28 $8,418.00 $-1,264.52
(-13.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2024 9:35am ET $388.26 21 $8,153.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2024 10:15am ET $408.31 21 $8,574.51 $8,839.16 +$421.16
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2025 9:45am ET $398.29 22 $8,762.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2025 9:35am ET $418.90 22 $9,215.80 $9,292.58 +$453.42
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 9:30am ET $486.15 19 $9,236.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 9:50am ET $511.93 19 $9,726.67 $9,782.40 +$489.82
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2025 9:35am ET $478.43 20 $9,568.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $456.56 20 $9,131.20 $9,345.00 $-437.40
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 9:40am ET $461.08 20 $9,221.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:30pm ET $484.46 20 $9,689.20 $9,812.70 +$467.70
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
11 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $445.98 22 $9,811.63 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 12:40pm ET $431.72 22 $9,497.73 $9,498.80 $-313.90
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
12 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 9:35am ET $426.30 22 $9,378.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 3:50pm ET $447.97 22 $9,855.34 $9,975.54 +$476.74
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.3d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 9:30am ET $401.31 24 $9,631.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 10:25am ET $385.61 24 $9,254.64 $9,598.74 $-376.80
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
54m held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $410.62 23 $9,444.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 11:10am ET $431.39 23 $9,921.97 $10,076.45 +$477.71
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $484.64 20 $9,692.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:45am ET $468.80 20 $9,376.00 $9,759.65 $-316.80
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:05am ET $474.48 20 $9,489.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $460.23 20 $9,204.60 $9,474.65 $-285.00
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,474.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-525.35
Total Return: -5.25%
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