Compendium › Danny Dip › XLK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLK
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-06-16 19:55:00+00 • 17 trades executed

-14.74%
2 Years Return
$8,525.76
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-16 19:47:38

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.48%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.40%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 16, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 3.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
56,058
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-17 → 2026-06-16
Trading Days
525 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$8,525.76
Total P&L
$-1,474.25
Max Drawdown
-12.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
17
Winners / Losers
6 / 11
Best Trade
+7.14%
Worst Trade
-5.65%
Avg Trade Return
-0.86%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$309,919.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,474.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,474.25
Gross Return
-14.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 525 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2024 10:00am ET $113.18 88 $9,960.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2024 11:10am ET $109.71 88 $9,654.04 $9,693.98 $-306.02
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $101.74 95 $9,664.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $96.38 95 $9,156.10 $9,185.26 $-508.73
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2024 10:45am ET $106.55 86 $9,162.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 6, 2024 10:20am ET $103.12 86 $8,868.11 $8,890.49 $-294.77
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2024 10:45am ET $111.54 79 $8,811.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2024 9:30am ET $117.66 79 $9,295.14 $9,374.17 +$483.68
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 3:35pm ET $116.47 80 $9,317.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2025 9:30am ET $116.75 80 $9,339.60 $9,396.17 +$22.00
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $115.07 81 $9,320.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2025 9:30am ET $117.55 81 $9,521.55 $9,597.05 +$200.88
(+2.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET $109.89 87 $9,560.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 11:50am ET $106.55 87 $9,269.85 $9,306.47 $-290.58
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $100.24 92 $9,221.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $94.57 92 $8,700.44 $8,785.29 $-521.18
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $87.64 100 $8,764.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $93.90 100 $9,389.50 $9,410.79 +$625.50
(+7.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
42m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $91.77 102 $9,360.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 3:35pm ET $88.70 102 $9,047.66 $9,097.90 $-312.89
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET $98.80 92 $9,089.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $95.50 92 $8,785.54 $8,794.30 $-303.60
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 10:15am ET $93.74 93 $8,717.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $100.19 93 $9,317.67 $9,394.02 +$599.72
(+6.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:50am ET $139.40 67 $9,339.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:10am ET $135.08 67 $9,050.36 $9,104.58 $-289.44
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET $144.78 62 $8,976.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:55pm ET $140.34 62 $8,701.08 $8,829.30 $-275.28
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:25am ET $135.25 65 $8,791.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:25am ET $139.59 65 $9,073.35 $9,111.40 +$282.10
(+3.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $191.03 47 $8,978.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:40am ET $184.83 47 $8,687.01 $8,820.00 $-291.40
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $180.41 48 $8,659.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $174.29 48 $8,365.68 $8,525.76 $-294.24
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,525.76
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,474.24
Total Return: -14.74%
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