Compendium › Danny Dip › XOM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XOM
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 14 trades executed

-8.33%
2 Years Return
$8,779.90
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$9,577.29
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:48:05

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.0/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 2.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
58,931
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
532 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,577.29
Current Value
$8,779.90
Total P&L
$-797.40
Max Drawdown
-7.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
13
Winners / Losers
4 / 9
Best Trade
+5.58%
Worst Trade
-5.20%
Avg Trade Return
-0.69%
Avg Hold Time
6.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$245,615.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-797.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-797.40
Gross Return
-8.33%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 532 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,577.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 26, 2024 9:35am ET $117.55 82 $9,639.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 10, 2024 9:35am ET $118.41 82 $9,709.62 $9,758.51 +$70.52
(+0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2024 9:45am ET $111.03 87 $9,659.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2024 9:45am ET $110.54 87 $9,616.98 $9,715.88 $-42.63
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2024 10:00am ET $114.11 85 $9,699.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2024 1:40pm ET $110.47 85 $9,389.95 $9,406.48 $-309.40
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2024 9:35am ET $120.33 78 $9,385.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2024 9:35am ET $118.40 78 $9,235.20 $9,255.94 $-150.54
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2025 9:45am ET $105.25 87 $9,156.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 10:10am ET $110.70 87 $9,630.90 $9,730.09 +$474.15
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $114.46 85 $9,729.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $109.45 85 $9,302.83 $9,303.82 $-426.28
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $100.21 92 $9,219.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $105.25 92 $9,683.00 $9,767.50 +$463.68
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 9:30am ET $102.86 94 $9,668.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $99.38 94 $9,341.25 $9,439.91 $-327.59
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $104.51 90 $9,405.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2025 9:30am ET $103.94 90 $9,354.60 $9,388.61 $-51.30
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $155.32 60 $9,319.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $163.99 60 $9,839.40 $9,908.81 +$520.20
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $167.33 59 $9,872.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET $161.39 59 $9,521.95 $9,558.29 $-350.52
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $161.04 59 $9,501.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $152.67 59 $9,007.53 $9,064.46 $-493.83
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $147.62 61 $9,004.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:05am ET $142.96 61 $8,720.26 $8,779.90 $-284.56
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,779.90
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,220.10
Total Return: -12.20%
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