Compendium › Dipster › ADBE
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ADBE
Alpaca Tradeable

Dipster's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-22 to present • 4 trades in period

-7.56%
Last Month Return
$8,169.08
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$8,837.27
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 16:34:24

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 4.0/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 2.8

30-Day Momentum

1
-6.2%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,837.27
Current Value
$8,169.08
Period P&L
$-668.20
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.40

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.14%
Worst Trade
-4.55%
Avg Trade Return
-1.54%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$68,273.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-668.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$-668.20
Gross Return
-7.56%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $8,837.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $243.59 35 $8,525.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:50am ET $256.12 35 $8,964.20 $9,144.05 +$438.55
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $264.17 34 $8,981.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $254.95 34 $8,668.30 $8,830.74 $-313.31
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $238.87 36 $8,599.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $227.99 36 $8,207.46 $8,439.06 $-391.68
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $202.40 41 $8,298.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $195.82 41 $8,028.42 $8,169.08 $-269.98
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,169.08
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,830.92
Total Return: -18.31%
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