Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 15:34:55

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.9/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
5.8/15
Consistency
8.3/10
Raw Quality 70.4/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 53.3

30-Day Momentum

24
+5.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 31.7 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,555
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,323.32
Current Value
$17,020.95
Period P&L
$1,697.63
Max Drawdown
-3.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.57

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+8.32%
Worst Trade
-3.16%
Avg Trade Return
+2.57%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$254,129.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,697.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,697.63
Gross Return
+11.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $15,323.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:20am ET $433.77 32 $13,880.48
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $469.87 32 $15,035.84 $15,167.80 +$1,155.36
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:30am ET $488.82 31 $15,153.42
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:05am ET $514.67 31 $15,954.77 $15,969.15 +$801.35
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $495.99 32 $15,871.68
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $521.41 32 $16,685.12 $16,782.59 +$813.44
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $514.13 32 $16,452.16
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $497.88 32 $15,932.16 $16,262.59 $-520.00
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $474.36 34 $16,128.07
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $459.48 34 $15,622.49 $15,757.01 $-505.58
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $461.15 34 $15,679.10
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:15pm ET $484.85 34 $16,484.90 $16,562.81 +$805.80
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET $530.75 31 $16,453.39
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $514.29 31 $15,943.09 $16,052.51 $-510.30
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $514.26 31 $15,942.06
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $545.50 31 $16,910.50 $17,020.95 +$968.44
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,020.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,020.95
Total Return: +70.21%
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