Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:32:12

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
29.9/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
6.5/15
Consistency
10.0/10
Raw Quality 68.0/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 49.5

30-Day Momentum

36
+11.7%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 51.0 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,043.91
Current Value
$14,265.15
Period P&L
$1,221.24
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.52

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+7.04%
Worst Trade
-3.14%
Avg Trade Return
+2.35%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$134,255.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,221.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,221.24
Gross Return
+9.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $13,043.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:10am ET $407.90 31 $12,644.90
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:50am ET $428.83 31 $13,293.73 $13,425.36 +$648.83
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:30am ET $417.02 32 $13,344.48
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $441.23 32 $14,119.36 $14,200.24 +$774.88
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $410.39 34 $13,953.09
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:20am ET $397.48 34 $13,514.32 $13,761.47 $-438.77
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET $394.85 34 $13,424.73
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $382.73 34 $13,012.65 $13,349.39 $-412.08
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $382.83 34 $13,016.22
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $409.76 34 $13,931.98 $14,265.15 +$915.76
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,265.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,265.15
Total Return: +42.65%
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