Compendium › Dipster › MRNA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRNA
Alpaca Tradeable

Dipster's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 5 trades in period

+10.81%
Last Month Return
$9,752.39
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$8,800.72
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 3.7/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 3.1

30-Day Momentum

34
+10.8%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 48.8 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+31 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,723
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,800.72
Current Value
$9,752.39
Period P&L
$951.67
Max Drawdown
-29.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.50

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
3 / 2
Best Trade
+6.16%
Worst Trade
-3.20%
Avg Trade Return
+2.17%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$91,184.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$951.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$951.67
Gross Return
+10.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $8,800.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET $50.64 173 $8,760.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $53.76 173 $9,300.48 $9,340.48 +$539.76
(+6.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $53.68 174 $9,340.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET $51.96 174 $9,041.28 $9,041.44 $-299.04
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:55am ET $49.19 183 $9,002.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET $47.70 183 $8,729.50 $8,768.26 $-273.18
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:40am ET $45.15 194 $8,758.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:15am ET $47.74 194 $9,261.56 $9,271.69 +$503.43
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
5 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:15am ET $44.28 209 $9,254.52 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $46.58 209 $9,735.22 $9,752.39 +$480.70
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,752.39
Net Profit/Loss: $-247.61
Total Return: -2.48%
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