Compendium › Dipster › NIO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NIO
Alpaca Tradeable

Dipster's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+3.35%
Last Month Return
$11,512.67
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$11,139.44
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:59:00

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.5/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 27.6/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 21.1

30-Day Momentum

16
+3.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.2 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,734
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,139.44
Current Value
$11,512.67
Period P&L
$373.23
Max Drawdown
-11.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+5.76%
Worst Trade
-3.59%
Avg Trade Return
+0.93%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$92,798.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$373.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$373.23
Gross Return
+3.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $11,139.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET $6.08 1,832 $11,138.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $6.43 1,832 $11,779.76 $11,780.64 +$641.20
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $6.26 1,880 $11,778.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:15am ET $6.04 1,880 $11,355.01 $11,357.45 $-423.19
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $6.32 1,797 $11,357.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $6.64 1,797 $11,941.06 $11,941.47 +$584.02
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $6.17 1,935 $11,938.95 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $5.95 1,935 $11,510.15 $11,512.67 $-428.80
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,512.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,512.67
Total Return: +15.13%
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