Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:24:19

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 3.7/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 3.1

30-Day Momentum

34
+10.8%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 48.8 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+31 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
33,445
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,324.97
Current Value
$9,752.39
Period P&L
$427.42
Max Drawdown
-29.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
8 / 13
Best Trade
+6.24%
Worst Trade
-3.80%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$248,475.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$427.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$427.42
Gross Return
+4.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $9,324.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 12:40pm ET $26.00 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 1:20pm ET $25.18 0 $0.00 $9,031.41 $-293.56
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 11:20am ET $29.02 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 20, 2025 12:30pm ET $28.09 0 $0.00 $8,743.73 $-287.68
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 12:40pm ET $24.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 12:40pm ET $24.46 0 $0.00 $8,702.90 $-40.83
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 11:35am ET $23.97 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 12:50pm ET $23.25 0 $0.00 $8,440.38 $-262.52
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET $48.01 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:35am ET $47.17 0 $0.00 $8,293.38 $-147.00
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $43.19 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:15pm ET $41.75 0 $0.00 $8,017.86 $-275.52
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $37.12 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:50am ET $39.18 0 $0.00 $8,463.90 +$446.04
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:45am ET $57.33 147 $8,427.51
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:30am ET $55.60 147 $8,173.93 $8,210.32 $-253.58
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 11:30am ET $49.65 165 $8,192.25
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $52.15 165 $8,604.75 $8,622.82 +$412.50
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $53.04 162 $8,592.48
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $56.35 162 $9,128.70 $9,159.04 +$536.22
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET $53.98 169 $9,122.82
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $52.34 169 $8,845.46 $8,881.68 $-277.36
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $53.91 164 $8,841.24
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET $52.06 164 $8,537.84 $8,578.28 $-303.40
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $50.60 169 $8,551.40
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:45am ET $53.15 169 $8,981.51 $9,008.39 +$430.11
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:20am ET $51.92 173 $8,982.16
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $50.17 173 $8,679.41 $8,705.64 $-302.75
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $48.14 180 $8,665.70
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:30pm ET $50.59 180 $9,106.20 $9,146.14 +$440.50
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:40pm ET $50.01 182 $9,101.80
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $48.11 182 $8,756.38 $8,800.72 $-345.42
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET $50.64 173 $8,760.72
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $53.76 173 $9,300.48 $9,340.48 +$539.76
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $53.68 174 $9,340.32
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:45am ET $51.96 174 $9,041.28 $9,041.44 $-299.04
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:55am ET $49.19 183 $9,002.68
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET $47.70 183 $8,729.50 $8,768.26 $-273.18
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:40am ET $45.15 194 $8,758.13
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:15am ET $47.74 194 $9,261.56 $9,271.69 +$503.43
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
21 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:15am ET $44.28 209 $9,254.52
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $46.58 209 $9,735.22 $9,752.39 +$480.70
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,752.39
Net Profit/Loss: $-247.61
Total Return: -2.48%
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