Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:10:27

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

64
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
10.6/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 84.1/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 64.2

30-Day Momentum

70
+44.2%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
6
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 94.3 Conf: 0.74×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
39,117
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,580.25
Current Value
$19,560.70
Period P&L
$7,980.45
Max Drawdown
-3.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.70

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
12 / 5
Best Trade
+12.49%
Worst Trade
-3.75%
Avg Trade Return
+3.29%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$414,073.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,980.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,980.45
Gross Return
+68.91%
Net Return (after fees)
+68.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $11,580.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $382.14 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $394.35 0 $0.00 $11,946.70 +$366.45
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $372.10 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $391.42 0 $0.00 $12,565.10 +$618.40
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $397.77 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 12:40pm ET $418.20 0 $0.00 $13,198.43 +$633.33
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $380.92 34 $12,951.45
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:35pm ET $369.23 34 $12,553.98 $12,800.96 $-397.47
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $408.49 31 $12,663.19
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $446.54 31 $13,842.74 $13,980.51 +$1,179.55
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $424.00 32 $13,568.00
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:15am ET $449.11 32 $14,371.36 $14,783.87 +$803.36
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET $433.79 34 $14,748.69
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:55pm ET $420.70 34 $14,303.83 $14,339.01 $-444.86
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET $391.70 36 $14,101.20
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $377.00 36 $13,572.00 $13,809.81 $-529.20
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $369.00 37 $13,653.00
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $357.85 37 $13,240.45 $13,397.26 $-412.55
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $345.18 38 $13,117.03
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $332.80 38 $12,646.40 $12,926.63 $-470.63
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $340.91 37 $12,613.52
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:10am ET $358.14 37 $13,251.18 $13,564.29 +$637.66
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $368.20 36 $13,255.38
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 36 $14,910.66 $15,219.57 +$1,655.28
(+12.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:25am ET $401.55 37 $14,857.35
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $423.13 37 $15,655.63 $16,017.85 +$798.28
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET $449.54 35 $15,733.73
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:30am ET $474.45 35 $16,605.92 $16,890.05 +$872.20
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $475.27 35 $16,634.62
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:10am ET $499.12 35 $17,469.20 $17,724.63 +$834.58
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $502.27 35 $17,579.45
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $527.40 35 $18,459.00 $18,604.18 +$879.55
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET $510.53 36 $18,378.90
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $537.09 36 $19,335.42 $19,560.70 +$956.52
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,560.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,560.70
Total Return: +95.61%
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