Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:59:29

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.0/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 54.3/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 48.4

30-Day Momentum

13
+0.8%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.2 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-35 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,890
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,010.13
Current Value
$17,740.31
Period P&L
$1,730.18
Max Drawdown
-10.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
8 / 12
Best Trade
+9.76%
Worst Trade
-3.67%
Avg Trade Return
+0.63%
Avg Hold Time
18.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$670,123.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,730.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,730.18
Gross Return
+10.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $16,010.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $7.82 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $8.30 0 $0.00 $16,971.75 +$961.62
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $8.45 2,007 $16,969.18
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:55am ET $8.18 2,007 $16,410.44 $16,413.00 $-558.75
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:15am ET $8.45 1,941 $16,411.15
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.28 1,941 $18,012.48 $18,014.32 +$1,601.32
(+9.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $9.24 1,949 $18,008.76
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $8.94 1,949 $17,424.06 $17,429.62 $-584.70
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $8.95 1,946 $17,426.43
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $8.66 1,946 $16,862.09 $16,865.28 $-564.34
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET $8.69 1,940 $16,858.60
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:50am ET $8.40 1,940 $16,295.81 $16,302.49 $-562.79
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:05pm ET $8.22 1,983 $16,300.26
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $8.97 1,983 $17,792.47 $17,794.70 +$1,492.21
(+9.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $8.29 2,146 $17,790.34
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $8.00 2,146 $17,168.00 $17,172.36 $-622.34
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $7.92 2,167 $17,168.49
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET $7.66 2,167 $16,600.95 $16,604.82 $-567.54
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $7.79 2,131 $16,600.49
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET $8.26 2,131 $17,591.41 $17,595.74 +$990.92
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $8.67 2,029 $17,591.43
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET $8.39 2,029 $17,023.11 $17,027.42 $-568.32
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $9.43 1,805 $17,021.15
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $9.92 1,805 $17,901.99 $17,908.26 +$880.84
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $9.40 1,905 $17,907.19
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:35am ET $9.95 1,905 $18,956.66 $18,957.73 +$1,049.47
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $11.71 1,618 $18,946.78
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $11.30 1,618 $18,289.39 $18,300.34 $-657.39
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET $11.35 1,612 $18,295.88
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET $11.92 1,612 $19,215.04 $19,219.50 +$919.16
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $11.78 1,630 $19,209.39
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $11.41 1,630 $18,606.45 $18,616.56 $-602.94
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:25am ET $11.18 1,665 $18,614.53
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 1,665 $17,932.05 $17,934.08 $-682.48
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $10.65 1,683 $17,923.95
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:10am ET $10.31 1,683 $17,343.32 $17,353.45 $-580.63
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:35am ET $11.38 1,524 $17,343.27
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:20am ET $11.99 1,524 $18,280.38 $18,290.56 +$937.11
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
45m held
20 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:55am ET $11.80 1,550 $18,290.00
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $11.44 1,550 $17,739.75 $17,740.31 $-550.25
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,740.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,740.31
Total Return: +77.40%
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