Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 18:08:18

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
29.9/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
6.5/15
Consistency
10.0/10
Raw Quality 68.0/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 49.5

30-Day Momentum

36
+11.7%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 51.0 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,866
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,221.97
Current Value
$14,265.15
Period P&L
$3,043.18
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+8.13%
Worst Trade
-3.34%
Avg Trade Return
+2.14%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$297,975.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,043.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,043.18
Gross Return
+27.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+27.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $11,221.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $329.77 34 $11,212.21
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $346.44 34 $11,778.96 $11,788.72 +$566.75
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET $327.28 36 $11,782.08
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $317.33 36 $11,424.06 $11,430.70 $-358.02
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET $315.33 36 $11,351.88
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $304.81 36 $10,973.16 $11,051.98 $-378.72
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET $292.64 37 $10,827.86
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $307.70 37 $11,384.99 $11,609.11 +$557.13
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $302.15 38 $11,481.70
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $326.71 38 $12,414.98 $12,542.39 +$933.28
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $409.89 30 $12,296.55
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET $397.10 30 $11,912.85 $12,158.69 $-383.70
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:20am ET $418.30 29 $12,130.56
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $439.60 29 $12,748.40 $12,776.53 +$617.84
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.2d held
8 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:10am ET $407.90 31 $12,644.90
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:50am ET $428.83 31 $13,293.73 $13,425.36 +$648.83
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
9 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:30am ET $417.02 32 $13,344.48
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $441.23 32 $14,119.36 $14,200.24 +$774.88
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $410.39 34 $13,953.09
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:20am ET $397.48 34 $13,514.32 $13,761.47 $-438.77
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET $394.85 34 $13,424.73
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $382.73 34 $13,012.65 $13,349.39 $-412.08
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $382.83 34 $13,016.22
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $409.76 34 $13,931.98 $14,265.15 +$915.76
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,265.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,265.15
Total Return: +42.65%
Back to Dipster