Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 01:40:41

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.6/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
42,327
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
506 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$8,947.10
Total P&L
$-1,135.30
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+5.17%
Worst Trade
-5.41%
Avg Trade Return
-0.87%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$184,746.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,135.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,135.30
Gross Return
-11.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 506 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2024 9:30am ET $305.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 21, 2024 9:30am ET $307.65 0 $0.00 $10,082.40 +$82.40
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET $345.29 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $349.66 0 $0.00 $10,209.13 +$126.73
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $211.26 48 $10,140.24
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $204.86 48 $9,833.28 $9,902.17 $-306.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:10am ET $197.70 50 $9,885.00
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $187.00 50 $9,350.00 $9,367.17 $-535.00
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $194.05 48 $9,314.64
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $198.75 48 $9,540.00 $9,592.53 +$225.36
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $188.25 50 $9,412.50
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $181.80 50 $9,090.00 $9,270.03 $-322.50
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $180.52 51 $9,206.62
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $175.05 51 $8,927.80 $8,991.21 $-278.82
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $174.06 51 $8,877.06
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $167.52 51 $8,543.52 $8,657.67 $-333.54
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
9 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $171.04 50 $8,552.00
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $179.88 50 $8,994.25 $9,099.92 +$442.25
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4h held
10 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:40am ET $174.19 52 $9,057.88
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:35am ET $183.03 52 $9,517.56 $9,559.60 +$459.68
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $189.46 50 $9,472.99
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $182.93 50 $9,146.50 $9,233.10 $-326.50
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:50am ET $165.19 55 $9,085.45
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $159.99 55 $8,799.45 $8,947.10 $-286.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,947.10
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,052.90
Total Return: -10.53%
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