Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:23:00

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 23.4/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 18.4

30-Day Momentum

23
+7.3%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 30.2 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
69,660
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,256.76
Current Value
$12,352.73
Total P&L
$3,095.97
Max Drawdown
-19.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
23
Winners / Losers
11 / 12
Best Trade
+10.73%
Worst Trade
-4.39%
Avg Trade Return
+1.41%
Avg Hold Time
21.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$319,746.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,095.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,095.97
Gross Return
+33.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+33.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $9,256.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2024 9:30am ET $166.60 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2024 1:20pm ET $160.55 0 $0.00 $8,924.01 $-332.75
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2024 9:50am ET $144.67 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2024 10:50am ET $153.54 0 $0.00 $9,464.93 +$540.92
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2024 9:30am ET $146.70 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2024 9:30am ET $140.25 0 $0.00 $9,052.45 $-412.48
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET $87.64 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:35am ET $84.50 0 $0.00 $8,729.03 $-323.42
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $114.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 9:30am ET $116.75 0 $0.00 $8,894.90 +$165.87
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET $141.22 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $138.68 0 $0.00 $8,737.50 $-157.40
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $159.78 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $152.95 0 $0.00 $8,368.68 $-368.82
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $111.69 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $108.94 0 $0.00 $8,165.31 $-203.37
(-2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $119.23 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $127.07 0 $0.00 $8,698.76 +$533.45
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $112.43 77 $8,656.73
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $118.09 77 $9,092.93 $9,134.96 +$436.20
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:10am ET $116.47 78 $9,084.66
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $122.85 78 $9,582.29 $9,632.59 +$497.63
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $125.50 76 $9,537.62
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $137.83 76 $10,475.08 $10,570.05 +$937.46
(+9.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $133.98 78 $10,450.44
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $148.35 78 $11,571.69 $11,691.30 +$1,121.25
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.31 79 $11,637.49
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET $142.50 79 $11,257.50 $11,311.31 $-379.99
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET $139.32 81 $11,284.92
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET $146.33 81 $11,852.42 $11,878.81 +$567.50
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $152.96 77 $11,777.92
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $148.18 77 $11,410.24 $11,511.13 $-367.68
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $144.04 79 $11,379.55
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET $138.60 79 $10,949.40 $11,080.98 $-430.15
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $146.95 75 $11,020.88
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $156.46 75 $11,734.50 $11,794.60 +$713.62
(+6.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $173.88 67 $11,649.96
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:45am ET $183.20 67 $12,274.40 $12,419.04 +$624.44
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $201.40 61 $12,285.21
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $221.94 61 $13,538.43 $13,672.27 +$1,253.23
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $224.49 60 $13,469.40
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $217.30 60 $13,038.00 $13,240.87 $-431.40
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $201.94 65 $13,126.10
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $194.24 65 $12,625.92 $12,740.69 $-500.18
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
23 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $207.96 61 $12,685.56
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:25am ET $201.60 61 $12,297.60 $12,352.73 $-387.96
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,352.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,352.73
Total Return: +23.53%
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