Compendium › Dipster › COIN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COIN
Alpaca Tradeable

Dipster's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 26 trades executed

+19.68%
2 Years Return
$10,285.61
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$8,593.97
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:53:09

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
4.9/25
Win Rate
0.9/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 11.7/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 9.1

30-Day Momentum

38
+13.3%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 48.4 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
82,520
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$8,593.97
Current Value
$10,285.61
Total P&L
$1,691.64
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
22
Winners / Losers
11 / 11
Best Trade
+9.11%
Worst Trade
-5.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.94%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$254,377.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,691.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,691.64
Gross Return
+19.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $8,593.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 10:05am ET $185.72 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 11:35am ET $197.00 0 $0.00 $9,112.85 +$518.88
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2024 10:35am ET $190.08 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2024 12:30pm ET $199.61 0 $0.00 $9,560.76 +$447.91
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2024 9:45am ET $196.66 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2024 11:45am ET $190.32 0 $0.00 $9,256.44 $-304.32
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2024 10:05am ET $315.73 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2024 12:20pm ET $305.23 0 $0.00 $8,951.90 $-304.54
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2024 9:30am ET $316.71 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2024 10:00am ET $306.74 0 $0.00 $8,672.74 $-279.16
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET $152.60 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:50am ET $161.34 0 $0.00 $9,162.18 +$489.44
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 1:20pm ET $244.38 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 9:50am ET $258.24 0 $0.00 $9,675.19 +$513.01
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $159.67 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $164.14 0 $0.00 $9,943.39 +$268.20
(+2.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $155.73 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $151.04 0 $0.00 $9,647.92 $-295.47
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $197.60 48 $9,484.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET $208.49 48 $10,007.76 $10,170.88 +$522.96
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET $205.67 49 $10,077.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $195.24 49 $9,566.86 $9,659.91 $-510.97
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET $198.01 48 $9,504.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET $190.04 48 $9,121.92 $9,277.35 $-382.56
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:55am ET $183.27 50 $9,163.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $176.64 50 $8,832.00 $8,945.85 $-331.50
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $166.16 53 $8,806.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:25am ET $160.47 53 $8,504.89 $8,644.26 $-301.59
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $160.52 53 $8,507.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:25am ET $168.68 53 $8,940.30 $9,077.00 +$432.74
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $166.01 54 $8,964.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $175.70 54 $9,487.53 $9,599.72 +$522.72
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $169.49 56 $9,491.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.94 56 $10,356.64 $10,464.64 +$864.92
(+9.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $169.43 61 $10,335.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $164.34 61 $10,024.74 $10,153.84 $-310.80
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $189.90 53 $10,064.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $199.77 53 $10,587.81 $10,676.95 +$523.11
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $200.56 53 $10,629.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:55pm ET $210.61 53 $11,162.20 $11,209.41 +$532.46
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $199.49 56 $11,171.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $190.43 56 $10,664.08 $10,702.05 $-507.36
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $187.15 57 $10,667.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $179.84 57 $10,250.88 $10,285.61 $-416.44
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,285.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$285.61
Total Return: +2.86%
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