LCID Dipster's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 49 trades executed
-7.23%
2 Years Return
$9,027.47
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$9,730.56
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality
3.5/100
× Confidence 0.86
= 3.0
30-Day Momentum
9
-8.0%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
82,996
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,730.56
Current Value
$9,027.47
Total P&L
$-703.09
Max Drawdown
-29.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
38
Winners / Losers
15 /
23
Best Trade
+8.25%
Worst Trade
-6.53%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
13.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$249,867.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-703.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-703.09
Gross Return
-7.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.23%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $9,730.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2024 10:35am ET | $31.30 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2024 11:45am ET | $33.17 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,310.57 |
+$580.01 (+6.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 12, 2024 11:05am ET | $39.34 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 12, 2024 1:00pm ET | $41.55 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,890.64 |
+$580.07 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $39.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2024 9:40am ET | $38.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,450.64 |
$-440.00 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2024 10:05am ET | $38.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2024 10:20am ET | $37.23 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,054.01 |
$-396.63 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $32.50 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2024 10:00am ET | $31.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,733.27 |
$-320.74 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2024 9:30am ET | $31.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2024 11:15am ET | $30.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,436.87 |
$-296.40 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2024 10:15am ET | $42.05 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2024 9:50am ET | $39.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,821.54 |
$-615.33 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2024 9:30am ET | $34.55 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2024 9:30am ET | $34.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,809.05 |
$-12.49 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2024 9:30am ET | $24.62 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $24.20 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,659.47 |
$-149.58 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $21.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 11:25am ET | $20.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,236.27 |
$-423.20 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $20.15 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2024 9:30am ET | $20.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,236.27 |
$0.00 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2024 9:35am ET | $21.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2024 12:35pm ET | $21.06 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,974.32 |
$-261.95 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2024 9:30am ET | $24.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2024 10:15am ET | $23.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,731.32 |
$-243.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $29.30 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2025 9:40am ET | $30.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,125.03 |
+$393.71 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2025 9:55am ET | $33.75 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,813.41 |
$-311.62 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,886.66 |
+$73.25 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $21.15 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2025 10:20am ET | $22.45 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,370.26 |
+$483.60 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2025 11:55am ET | $21.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2025 2:40pm ET | $20.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,987.26 |
$-383.00 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET | $23.41 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $24.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,480.01 |
+$492.75 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $20.15 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $20.40 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,585.01 |
+$105.00 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $28.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 9:45am ET | $31.10 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,270.11 |
+$685.10 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 18, 2025 9:35am ET | $29.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 11:20am ET | $32.04 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,034.77 |
+$764.66 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $29.91 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2025 10:10am ET | $28.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,724.90 |
$-309.87 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $18.30 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 9:45am ET | $19.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,282.72 |
+$557.82 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $15.28 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 3:50pm ET | $16.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,825.96 |
+$543.24 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 11:10am ET | $10.65 | 1,016 | $10,820.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $10.30 | 1,016 | $10,464.80 | $10,470.36 |
$-355.60 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.14 | 1,033 | $10,469.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $9.81 | 1,033 | $10,133.63 | $10,134.53 |
$-335.83 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 10:15am ET | $10.27 | 987 | $10,131.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 12:50pm ET | $9.94 | 987 | $9,810.78 | $9,813.75 |
$-320.78 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $9.59 | 1,023 | $9,810.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $9.29 | 1,023 | $9,503.67 | $9,506.85 |
$-306.90 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:30am ET | $8.99 | 1,056 | $9,498.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $8.71 | 1,056 | $9,197.87 | $9,206.00 |
$-300.85 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $8.34 | 1,104 | $9,201.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 1:10pm ET | $8.82 | 1,104 | $9,742.80 | $9,746.96 |
+$540.96 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $8.52 | 1,143 | $9,744.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:40am ET | $8.22 | 1,143 | $9,395.46 | $9,398.35 |
$-348.61 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $7.47 | 1,257 | $9,391.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $7.86 | 1,257 | $9,873.74 | $9,880.54 |
+$482.19 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:35am ET | $7.05 | 1,400 | $9,877.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $6.83 | 1,400 | $9,562.00 | $9,565.54 |
$-315.00 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $6.93 | 1,379 | $9,563.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.66 | 1,379 | $9,183.73 | $9,185.90 |
$-379.64 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $6.07 | 1,513 | $9,182.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $5.84 | 1,513 | $8,835.92 | $8,839.12 |
$-346.78 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $5.72 | 1,546 | $8,835.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:15am ET | $6.02 | 1,546 | $9,306.92 | $9,310.65 |
+$471.53 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $6.54 | 1,423 | $9,306.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $6.34 | 1,423 | $9,023.24 | $9,027.47 |
$-283.18 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,027.47
Net Profit/Loss:
$-972.53
Total Return:
-9.73%