Compendium › Dipster › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Dipster's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-06-18 19:55:00+00 • 34 trades executed

+118.80%
2 Years Return
$21,836.18
Current Value
64%
Win Rate
$9,979.98
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-18 21:54:55

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 18, 2026

61
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.9/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
8.1/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 74.1/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 60.5

30-Day Momentum

13
+2.1%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.0 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-47 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
80,544
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-18 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
520 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2024-11-29 (no data), 2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,979.98
Current Value
$21,836.18
Total P&L
$11,856.20
Max Drawdown
-3.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.54

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
33
Winners / Losers
21 / 12
Best Trade
+12.49%
Worst Trade
-4.37%
Avg Trade Return
+2.55%
Avg Hold Time
23.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$908,801.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$11,856.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$11,856.20
Gross Return
+118.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+118.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 520 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Dipster had $9,979.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2024 9:30am ET $152.26 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2024 12:15pm ET $147.65 0 $0.00 $9,680.33 $-299.65
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 11:00am ET $87.00 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 11:05am ET $94.02 0 $0.00 $10,459.55 +$779.22
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2025 9:30am ET $94.29 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2025 9:30am ET $96.58 0 $0.00 $10,711.45 +$251.90
(+2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET $66.57 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $72.00 0 $0.00 $11,580.25 +$868.80
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $382.14 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $394.35 0 $0.00 $11,946.70 +$366.45
(+3.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $372.10 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $391.42 0 $0.00 $12,565.10 +$618.40
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $397.77 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 12:40pm ET $418.20 0 $0.00 $13,198.43 +$633.33
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $380.92 34 $12,951.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:35pm ET $369.23 34 $12,553.98 $12,800.96 $-397.47
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $408.49 31 $12,663.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $446.54 31 $13,842.74 $13,980.51 +$1,179.55
(+9.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $424.00 32 $13,568.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:15am ET $449.11 32 $14,371.36 $14,783.87 +$803.36
(+5.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
45m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET $433.79 34 $14,748.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:55pm ET $420.70 34 $14,303.83 $14,339.01 $-444.86
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET $391.70 36 $14,101.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $377.00 36 $13,572.00 $13,809.81 $-529.20
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET $369.00 37 $13,653.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $357.85 37 $13,240.45 $13,397.26 $-412.55
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $345.18 38 $13,117.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $332.80 38 $12,646.40 $12,926.63 $-470.63
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $340.91 37 $12,613.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:10am ET $358.14 37 $13,251.18 $13,564.29 +$637.66
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
40m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $368.20 36 $13,255.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 36 $14,910.66 $15,219.57 +$1,655.28
(+12.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:25am ET $401.55 37 $14,857.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $423.13 37 $15,655.63 $16,017.85 +$798.28
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET $449.54 35 $15,733.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:30am ET $474.45 35 $16,605.92 $16,890.05 +$872.20
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $475.27 35 $16,634.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:10am ET $499.12 35 $17,469.20 $17,724.63 +$834.58
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $502.27 35 $17,579.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $527.40 35 $18,459.00 $18,604.18 +$879.55
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:10am ET $510.53 36 $18,378.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $537.09 36 $19,335.42 $19,560.70 +$956.52
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
22 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $629.81 31 $19,524.11 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:25am ET $662.80 31 $20,546.80 $20,583.39 +$1,022.69
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
23 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:50am ET $658.08 31 $20,400.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:20pm ET $637.79 31 $19,771.49 $19,954.40 $-628.99
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
24 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:55am ET $773.85 25 $19,346.37 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 2:35pm ET $813.78 25 $20,344.53 $20,952.56 +$998.16
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.7h held
25 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $731.76 28 $20,489.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:30am ET $708.73 28 $19,844.58 $20,307.86 $-644.70
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
26 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:30am ET $663.80 30 $19,914.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $700.85 30 $21,025.50 $21,419.36 +$1,111.50
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
27 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:15am ET $914.05 23 $21,023.26 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:50am ET $969.00 23 $22,287.00 $22,683.10 +$1,263.74
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:25am ET $1,034.80 21 $21,730.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:40am ET $989.61 21 $20,781.81 $21,734.11 $-948.99
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $935.16 23 $21,508.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $906.34 23 $20,845.93 $21,071.48 $-662.63
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET $952.70 22 $20,959.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $916.71 22 $20,167.62 $20,279.70 $-791.78
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:25am ET $913.17 22 $20,089.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $965.06 22 $21,231.32 $21,421.28 +$1,141.58
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:35am ET $1,064.58 20 $21,291.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 11:45am ET $1,029.87 20 $20,597.40 $20,727.15 $-694.13
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,049.93 19 $19,948.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $1,108.30 19 $21,057.70 $21,836.18 +$1,109.03
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,836.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,836.18
Total Return: +118.36%
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