Compendium › Fear Fade › LCID
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LCID
Alpaca Tradeable

Fear Fade's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 4 trades in period

+4.69%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,871.80
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$10,384.43
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:33:35

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.1/35
Total Return
8.2/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 27.8/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 18.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,116
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,384.43
Current Value
$10,871.80
Period P&L
$487.38
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+10.05%
Worst Trade
-10.20%
Avg Trade Return
+1.43%
Avg Hold Time
13.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$88,421.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$487.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$487.38
Gross Return
+4.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Fear Fade had $10,384.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $12.66 820 $10,381.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $12.80 820 $10,495.84 $10,499.07 +$114.64
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $11.84 886 $10,490.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $12.41 886 $10,992.25 $11,001.08 +$502.01
(+4.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $9.80 1,122 $10,995.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $10.78 1,122 $12,100.77 $12,106.13 +$1,105.06
(+10.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $10.44 1,159 $12,099.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $9.38 1,159 $10,865.63 $10,871.80 $-1,234.33
(-10.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
45d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,871.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$871.80
Total Return: +8.72%
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