Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:46:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 63%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.3/35
Total Return
10.6/25
Win Rate
11.6/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 42.5/100
× Confidence 0.63 = 26.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (63%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
86,944
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,265.84
Current Value
$11,761.80
Total P&L
$1,495.97
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
23
Winners / Losers
16 / 7
Best Trade
+9.24%
Worst Trade
-13.22%
Avg Trade Return
+0.78%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$494,766.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,495.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,495.97
Gross Return
+14.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Fear Fade had $10,265.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2024 9:30am ET $7.07 1,452 $10,258.96
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2024 9:30am ET $7.40 1,452 $10,737.54 $10,744.42 +$478.58
(+4.7%)
TIME_EXIT
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $6.86 1,567 $10,741.79
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $6.08 1,567 $9,519.53 $9,522.16 $-1,222.26
(-11.4%)
TIME_EXIT
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2024 9:30am ET $6.46 1,474 $9,522.04
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 9:30am ET $6.48 1,474 $9,544.15 $9,544.27 +$22.11
(+0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 23, 2024 9:30am ET $7.22 1,322 $9,538.23
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2024 9:30am ET $7.61 1,322 $10,060.42 $10,066.46 +$522.19
(+5.5%)
TIME_EXIT
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2024 9:30am ET $7.76 1,298 $10,065.99
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2024 9:30am ET $7.90 1,298 $10,254.20 $10,254.67 +$188.21
(+1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2024 9:30am ET $7.46 1,374 $10,250.04
🔴 SELL Sep 6, 2024 9:30am ET $7.38 1,374 $10,133.25 $10,137.88 $-116.79
(-1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2024 9:30am ET $7.68 1,319 $10,133.75
🔴 SELL Oct 4, 2024 9:30am ET $7.99 1,319 $10,544.09 $10,548.22 +$410.34
(+4.0%)
TIME_EXIT
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2024 9:30am ET $8.35 1,262 $10,542.24
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 9:30am ET $8.49 1,262 $10,720.56 $10,726.54 +$178.32
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2024 9:30am ET $15.99 670 $10,712.50
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET $15.50 670 $10,385.00 $10,399.04 $-327.50
(-3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2025 9:30am ET $14.78 703 $10,389.22
🔴 SELL Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET $14.09 703 $9,901.76 $9,911.58 $-487.46
(-4.7%)
TIME_EXIT
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET $13.81 717 $9,898.19
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $14.87 717 $10,661.79 $10,675.19 +$763.61
(+7.7%)
TIME_EXIT
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $12.87 829 $10,669.23
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2025 9:30am ET $12.88 829 $10,677.52 $10,683.48 +$8.29
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 9:30am ET $12.35 865 $10,678.43
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $11.96 865 $10,345.40 $10,350.45 $-333.03
(-3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 9:30am ET $11.15 928 $10,348.04
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 9:30am ET $12.01 928 $11,140.64 $11,143.06 +$792.60
(+7.7%)
TIME_EXIT
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $11.41 977 $11,142.69
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $9.90 977 $9,670.15 $9,670.52 $-1,472.53
(-13.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $9.51 1,016 $9,665.21
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 9:30am ET $10.39 1,016 $10,558.27 $10,563.59 +$893.06
(+9.2%)
TIME_EXIT
2d held
17 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 9:30am ET $12.83 823 $10,558.10
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $13.23 823 $10,888.29 $10,893.77 +$330.19
(+3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
5d held
18 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 9:30am ET $13.17 827 $10,891.59
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET $13.59 827 $11,234.80 $11,236.98 +$343.21
(+3.2%)
TIME_EXIT
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $26.77 419 $11,216.63
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $27.12 419 $11,361.19 $11,381.53 +$144.56
(+1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $26.39 431 $11,374.09
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $27.99 431 $12,063.69 $12,071.13 +$689.60
(+6.1%)
TIME_EXIT
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $24.91 484 $12,055.57
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $26.31 484 $12,734.04 $12,749.60 +$678.47
(+5.6%)
TIME_EXIT
3d held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $20.15 632 $12,734.80
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $20.94 632 $13,237.24 $13,252.04 +$502.44
(+3.9%)
TIME_EXIT
3d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $19.42 682 $13,247.85
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $17.24 682 $11,757.61 $11,761.80 $-1,490.24
(-11.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
32.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,761.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,761.80
Total Return: +17.62%
Back to Fear Fade