Compendium › Fear Fade › LCID
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LCID
Alpaca Tradeable

Fear Fade's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 25 trades executed

+6.64%
2 Years Return
$10,871.80
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$10,194.95
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 04:15:34

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.1/35
Total Return
8.2/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 27.8/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 18.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
82,885
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,194.95
Current Value
$10,871.80
Total P&L
$676.86
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
24
Winners / Losers
14 / 10
Best Trade
+14.10%
Worst Trade
-10.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.44%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$496,774.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$676.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$676.86
Gross Return
+6.64%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Fear Fade had $10,194.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2024 9:30am ET $33.11 307 $10,164.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2024 9:30am ET $34.00 307 $10,438.00 $10,468.18 +$273.23
(+2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $31.35 333 $10,439.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $28.96 333 $9,643.68 $9,672.31 $-795.87
(-7.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2024 9:30am ET $32.50 297 $9,652.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2024 2:10pm ET $29.22 297 $8,677.45 $8,697.26 $-975.05
(-10.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2024 2:10pm ET $31.35 277 $8,683.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2024 9:30am ET $31.10 277 $8,614.70 $8,628.01 $-69.25
(-0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
3.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 23, 2024 9:30am ET $39.10 220 $8,602.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2024 9:30am ET $41.21 220 $9,066.20 $9,092.21 +$464.20
(+5.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2024 9:30am ET $39.85 228 $9,085.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2024 9:30am ET $41.45 228 $9,450.60 $9,457.01 +$364.80
(+4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2024 9:30am ET $38.55 245 $9,444.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 6, 2024 9:30am ET $37.05 245 $9,077.25 $9,089.51 $-367.50
(-3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2024 9:30am ET $32.60 278 $9,062.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 4, 2024 9:30am ET $34.09 278 $9,477.77 $9,504.48 +$414.97
(+4.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2024 9:30am ET $34.05 279 $9,499.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2024 9:30am ET $33.45 279 $9,332.55 $9,337.08 $-167.40
(-1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2024 9:30am ET $26.20 356 $9,327.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET $29.90 356 $10,642.62 $10,652.50 +$1,315.42
(+14.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2025 9:30am ET $31.40 339 $10,644.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 10, 2025 9:30am ET $29.74 339 $10,082.54 $10,090.43 $-562.06
(-5.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET $21.15 477 $10,088.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET $22.70 477 $10,827.90 $10,829.78 +$739.35
(+7.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $20.79 520 $10,812.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2025 9:30am ET $20.80 520 $10,816.00 $10,833.42 +$3.64
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 9:30am ET $20.90 518 $10,826.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $21.45 518 $11,111.10 $11,118.32 +$284.90
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 9:30am ET $20.90 532 $11,118.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2025 9:30am ET $21.20 532 $11,278.40 $11,278.46 +$160.13
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $22.89 492 $11,261.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $23.18 492 $11,403.08 $11,420.15 +$141.70
(+1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $24.10 473 $11,398.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 9:30am ET $25.05 473 $11,848.65 $11,869.98 +$449.82
(+3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
18 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 9:30am ET $26.95 440 $11,858.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $25.90 440 $11,396.00 $11,407.98 $-462.00
(-3.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
5d held
19 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 9:30am ET $23.40 487 $11,395.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET $22.00 487 $10,713.51 $10,725.69 $-682.29
(-6.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $20.57 521 $10,714.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $19.91 521 $10,373.11 $10,384.43 $-341.26
(-3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
21 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $12.66 820 $10,381.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $12.80 820 $10,495.84 $10,499.07 +$114.64
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
2d held
22 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $11.84 886 $10,490.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $12.41 886 $10,992.25 $11,001.08 +$502.01
(+4.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $9.80 1,122 $10,995.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $10.78 1,122 $12,100.77 $12,106.13 +$1,105.06
(+10.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
3d held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET $10.44 1,159 $12,099.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $9.38 1,159 $10,865.63 $10,871.80 $-1,234.33
(-10.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
45d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,871.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$871.80
Total Return: +8.72%
Back to Fear Fade