Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 14:18:45

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 3.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

6
-15.7%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,124.28
Current Value
$6,838.12
Period P&L
$-1,286.23
Max Drawdown
-20.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.61

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
0 / 9
Best Trade
-0.02%
Worst Trade
-9.75%
Avg Trade Return
-1.88%
Avg Hold Time
7.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$135,371.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,286.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,286.23
Gross Return
-15.83%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,124.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $244.63 33 $8,072.95
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $244.24 33 $8,059.92 $8,111.32 $-13.03
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $242.70 33 $8,009.10
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:20pm ET $241.79 33 $7,979.07 $8,081.29 $-30.03
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $240.10 33 $7,923.14
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:20am ET $239.95 33 $7,918.35 $8,076.50 $-4.79
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $262.08 30 $7,862.40
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $256.34 30 $7,690.20 $7,904.30 $-172.20
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $251.48 31 $7,795.88
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $251.35 31 $7,791.85 $7,900.27 $-4.03
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $246.56 32 $7,889.92
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:45am ET $236.56 32 $7,569.92 $7,580.27 $-320.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $224.26 33 $7,400.58
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $202.40 33 $6,679.20 $6,858.89 $-721.38
(-9.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:45am ET $208.51 32 $6,672.32
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $208.47 32 $6,671.04 $6,857.61 $-1.28
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $203.10 33 $6,702.46
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $202.51 33 $6,682.98 $6,838.12 $-19.49
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,838.12
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,161.88
Total Return: -31.62%
Back to Grace Crossover