Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 05:29:01

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.8/35
Total Return
12.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 39.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 39.3

30-Day Momentum

22
+1.8%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.2 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,746.82
Current Value
$13,002.42
Period P&L
$255.54
Max Drawdown
-5.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+3.71%
Worst Trade
-1.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
11.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$233,313.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$255.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$255.54
Gross Return
+2.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,746.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $344.04 37 $12,729.48
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $356.80 37 $13,201.78 $13,219.18 +$472.30
(+3.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:00am ET $351.46 37 $13,004.02
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:15pm ET $349.47 37 $12,930.39 $13,145.55 $-73.63
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:50pm ET $355.85 36 $12,810.60
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $355.29 36 $12,790.44 $13,125.39 $-20.16
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:50am ET $345.05 38 $13,111.71
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $345.12 38 $13,114.56 $13,128.24 +$2.85
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $344.54 38 $13,092.52
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $348.22 38 $13,232.36 $13,268.08 +$139.84
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET $346.86 38 $13,180.49
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:20am ET $345.83 38 $13,141.54 $13,229.13 $-38.95
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $339.73 38 $12,909.74
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $335.79 38 $12,760.02 $13,079.41 $-149.72
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
8 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $327.45 39 $12,770.74
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $326.85 39 $12,747.15 $13,055.82 $-23.59
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $322.99 40 $12,919.80
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:45am ET $321.66 40 $12,866.40 $13,002.42 $-53.40
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,002.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,002.42
Total Return: +30.02%
Back to Grace Crossover