Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 20:29:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.3/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 23.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 23.4

30-Day Momentum

50
+8.5%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
4.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.1 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+27 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,146.89
Current Value
$12,046.22
Period P&L
$899.29
Max Drawdown
-13.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.45

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+5.81%
Worst Trade
-1.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.89%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$214,493.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$899.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$899.29
Gross Return
+8.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,146.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:00pm ET $77.36 144 $11,139.12
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $81.85 144 $11,786.40 $11,794.21 +$647.28
(+5.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $79.96 147 $11,754.12
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:40pm ET $79.85 147 $11,737.22 $11,777.31 $-16.90
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:40pm ET $78.10 150 $11,714.25
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:10pm ET $78.04 150 $11,705.25 $11,768.31 $-9.00
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $74.51 157 $11,698.85
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $75.84 157 $11,906.88 $11,976.33 +$208.02
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $73.97 161 $11,909.17
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:55am ET $74.94 161 $12,066.14 $12,133.30 +$156.97
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $74.21 163 $12,096.23
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET $74.98 163 $12,221.71 $12,258.78 +$125.48
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $79.58 154 $12,255.32
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $79.45 154 $12,235.30 $12,238.76 $-20.02
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $80.12 152 $12,178.24
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:30am ET $79.20 152 $12,038.40 $12,098.92 $-139.84
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $77.75 155 $12,052.02
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $77.42 155 $11,999.33 $12,046.22 $-52.70
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,046.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,046.22
Total Return: +20.46%
Back to Grace Crossover