Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:16:55

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.2/35
Total Return
9.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 19.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 19.3

30-Day Momentum

55
+9.9%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
3.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 65.7 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+36 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,762
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,269.69
Current Value
$11,619.55
Period P&L
$1,349.82
Max Drawdown
-13.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.50

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+8.09%
Worst Trade
-1.16%
Avg Trade Return
+1.28%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$220,447.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,349.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,349.82
Gross Return
+13.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,269.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $68.45 150 $10,267.50
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $69.08 150 $10,362.75 $10,364.98 +$95.25
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $69.19 149 $10,309.31
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:25am ET $74.79 149 $11,143.71 $11,199.38 +$834.40
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $76.71 145 $11,123.67
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $76.56 145 $11,101.20 $11,176.91 $-22.47
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:45am ET $78.83 141 $11,115.04
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $78.53 141 $11,072.73 $11,134.60 $-42.31
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $78.29 142 $11,116.47
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:20pm ET $78.86 142 $11,198.12 $11,216.25 +$81.65
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $77.33 145 $11,213.57
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:20am ET $76.44 145 $11,083.80 $11,086.48 $-129.77
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $76.57 144 $11,026.08
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 2:55pm ET $76.51 144 $11,017.44 $11,077.84 $-8.64
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:35pm ET $73.30 151 $11,068.30
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $73.06 151 $11,032.06 $11,041.60 $-36.24
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
9 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $76.07 145 $11,030.15
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:40am ET $77.78 145 $11,278.10 $11,289.55 +$247.95
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
10 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $76.73 147 $11,278.59
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:20am ET $78.97 147 $11,608.59 $11,619.55 +$330.00
(+2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,619.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,619.55
Total Return: +16.20%
Back to Grace Crossover