Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:05:58

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.5/35
Total Return
5.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 10.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 10.1

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.4%
30d Return
10%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,734.71
Current Value
$10,388.10
Period P&L
$-346.60
Max Drawdown
-26.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
2 / 9
Best Trade
+5.22%
Worst Trade
-4.02%
Avg Trade Return
-0.28%
Avg Hold Time
16.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$231,211.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-346.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-346.60
Gross Return
-3.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,734.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $423.30 25 $10,582.50
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:20am ET $422.33 25 $10,558.25 $10,710.45 $-24.25
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:05pm ET $428.02 25 $10,700.50
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:20pm ET $427.06 25 $10,676.50 $10,686.45 $-24.00
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:20pm ET $437.57 24 $10,501.68
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $460.42 24 $11,050.08 $11,234.85 +$548.40
(+5.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:20pm ET $477.62 23 $10,985.26
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $474.08 23 $10,903.84 $11,153.43 $-81.42
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $414.88 26 $10,786.88
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $407.52 26 $10,595.39 $10,961.94 $-191.49
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $402.68 27 $10,872.49
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $386.49 27 $10,435.23 $10,524.67 $-437.27
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:40am ET $376.74 27 $10,171.98
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:55am ET $375.25 27 $10,131.75 $10,484.44 $-40.23
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:00pm ET $381.74 27 $10,306.98
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $380.60 27 $10,276.20 $10,453.66 $-30.78
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $380.70 27 $10,278.77
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $379.55 27 $10,247.72 $10,422.61 $-31.05
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $409.76 25 $10,244.10
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:10pm ET $407.59 25 $10,189.75 $10,368.26 $-54.35
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $383.26 27 $10,347.89
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:50pm ET $383.99 27 $10,367.73 $10,388.10 +$19.84
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,388.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$388.10
Total Return: +3.88%
Back to Grace Crossover