Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:49:04

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

59
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
30.8/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
7.1/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 59.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 58.7

30-Day Momentum

58
+11.1%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 69.0 Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,768
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,672.80
Current Value
$15,145.97
Period P&L
$1,473.14
Max Drawdown
-5.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+8.04%
Worst Trade
-0.13%
Avg Trade Return
+1.21%
Avg Hold Time
23.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$259,372.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,473.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,473.14
Gross Return
+10.77%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,672.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $79.70 171 $13,628.70
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $79.84 171 $13,652.64 $13,660.86 +$23.94
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $82.92 164 $13,598.88
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:00am ET $82.92 164 $13,598.88 $13,660.86 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $81.61 167 $13,628.04
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $81.52 167 $13,613.84 $13,646.66 $-14.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $81.44 167 $13,600.48
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $87.99 167 $14,694.33 $14,740.51 +$1,093.85
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $89.88 164 $14,740.32
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $89.82 164 $14,730.48 $14,730.67 $-9.84
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $89.05 165 $14,693.25
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:40pm ET $89.42 165 $14,753.48 $14,790.89 +$60.22
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:10pm ET $86.44 171 $14,781.24
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $88.68 171 $15,165.13 $15,174.78 +$383.89
(+2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held
8 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:50am ET $92.51 164 $15,171.64
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:25am ET $92.45 164 $15,161.80 $15,164.94 $-9.84
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
9 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 1:50pm ET $91.45 165 $15,089.25
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $91.33 165 $15,070.27 $15,145.97 $-18.97
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,145.97
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,145.97
Total Return: +51.46%
Back to Grace Crossover