Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:58:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

51
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.2/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
6.8/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 51.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 50.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.0%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-42 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,357.67
Current Value
$14,212.36
Period P&L
$-145.31
Max Drawdown
-6.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+1.19%
Worst Trade
-1.24%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$286,058.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-145.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$-145.31
Gross Return
-1.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $14,357.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:25am ET $426.72 33 $14,081.76
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:00pm ET $428.30 33 $14,134.02 $14,409.93 +$52.26
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $436.61 33 $14,408.13
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $439.21 33 $14,493.93 $14,495.73 +$85.80
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $437.83 33 $14,448.39
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $443.02 33 $14,619.66 $14,667.00 +$171.27
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:10am ET $441.71 33 $14,576.43
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:30pm ET $440.67 33 $14,542.11 $14,632.68 $-34.32
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $446.86 32 $14,299.52
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $441.87 32 $14,139.84 $14,473.00 $-159.68
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $435.54 33 $14,372.82
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET $434.14 33 $14,326.62 $14,426.80 $-46.20
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $434.75 33 $14,346.75
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $433.50 33 $14,305.50 $14,385.55 $-41.25
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:50pm ET $421.84 34 $14,342.56
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $416.63 34 $14,165.42 $14,208.41 $-177.14
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held
9 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $425.17 33 $14,030.61
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $425.53 33 $14,042.49 $14,220.29 +$11.88
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
10 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $430.15 33 $14,194.95
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $429.91 33 $14,187.02 $14,212.36 $-7.93
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,212.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,212.36
Total Return: +42.12%
Back to Grace Crossover