Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:05:44

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.2/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 23.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 22.9

30-Day Momentum

23
+1.6%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 29.8 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,496.98
Current Value
$12,739.54
Period P&L
$242.59
Max Drawdown
-22.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.51

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+0.98%
Worst Trade
-0.33%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
16.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$198,351.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$242.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$242.59
Gross Return
+1.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.94%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,496.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:50am ET $384.85 32 $12,315.20
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $386.26 32 $12,360.32 $12,542.07 +$45.12
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:45am ET $389.89 32 $12,476.64
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 12:35pm ET $389.17 32 $12,453.44 $12,518.87 $-23.20
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $382.86 32 $12,251.68
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $382.50 32 $12,240.00 $12,507.19 $-11.68
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $368.09 33 $12,146.97
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $371.69 33 $12,265.77 $12,625.99 +$118.80
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:25am ET $364.11 34 $12,379.57
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $363.69 34 $12,365.46 $12,611.88 $-14.11
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 3:45pm ET $357.19 35 $12,501.65
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $360.63 35 $12,621.88 $12,732.10 +$120.22
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $365.45 34 $12,425.30
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $364.25 34 $12,384.50 $12,691.30 $-40.80
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:10am ET $348.82 36 $12,557.52
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $350.16 36 $12,605.76 $12,739.54 +$48.24
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,739.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,739.54
Total Return: +27.40%
Back to Grace Crossover