Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:05:57

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.7/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 32.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 31.5

30-Day Momentum

22
+3.7%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.2 Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,395.73
Current Value
$15,971.89
Period P&L
$576.18
Max Drawdown
-21.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
2 / 7
Best Trade
+8.47%
Worst Trade
-4.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.47%
Avg Hold Time
13.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$289,078.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$576.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$576.18
Gross Return
+3.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $15,395.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $75.54 203 $15,333.61
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $74.73 203 $15,170.19 $15,232.29 $-163.42
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:15am ET $90.14 168 $15,144.36
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $89.73 168 $15,074.64 $15,162.57 $-69.72
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $81.04 187 $15,154.48
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $84.46 187 $15,794.02 $15,802.11 +$639.54
(+4.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $82.15 192 $15,772.80
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:40am ET $89.11 192 $17,109.12 $17,138.43 +$1,336.32
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:40am ET $88.15 194 $17,102.07
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $87.13 194 $16,903.22 $16,939.58 $-198.85
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:45pm ET $93.42 181 $16,908.12
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $92.88 181 $16,810.38 $16,841.84 $-97.74
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $99.51 169 $16,817.19
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 11:00am ET $95.11 169 $16,073.52 $16,098.17 $-743.67
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:40am ET $106.84 150 $16,026.00
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $106.52 150 $15,978.00 $16,050.17 $-48.00
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:00am ET $105.21 152 $15,992.68
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $104.70 152 $15,914.40 $15,971.89 $-78.28
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,971.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,971.89
Total Return: +59.72%
Back to Grace Crossover