Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:15:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.2/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 23.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 23.1

30-Day Momentum

39
+4.0%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
3.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.3 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,981.77
Current Value
$11,424.98
Period P&L
$443.20
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.48

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+2.52%
Worst Trade
-0.44%
Avg Trade Return
+0.45%
Avg Hold Time
17.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$199,587.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$443.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$443.20
Gross Return
+4.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,981.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:25pm ET $252.06 43 $10,838.58
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:40pm ET $251.40 43 $10,810.20 $10,953.40 $-28.38
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:00am ET $260.06 42 $10,922.52
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $261.80 42 $10,995.60 $11,026.48 +$73.08
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $268.71 41 $11,017.31
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:40am ET $268.64 41 $11,014.24 $11,023.41 $-3.07
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $269.32 40 $10,772.80
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $276.10 40 $11,044.00 $11,294.61 +$271.20
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:05pm ET $275.68 40 $11,027.40
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET $276.08 40 $11,043.20 $11,310.41 +$15.80
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $275.68 41 $11,302.88
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $274.46 41 $11,252.86 $11,260.39 $-50.02
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $276.88 40 $11,075.20
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $276.70 40 $11,067.80 $11,252.99 $-7.40
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $273.74 41 $11,223.34
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:45pm ET $278.25 41 $11,408.25 $11,437.90 +$184.91
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $277.86 41 $11,392.06
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $277.54 41 $11,379.14 $11,424.98 $-12.92
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,424.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,424.98
Total Return: +14.25%
Back to Grace Crossover