Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:05:58

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 21.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 20.8

30-Day Momentum

23
+2.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.8 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,940.77
Current Value
$11,236.04
Period P&L
$295.18
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+2.91%
Worst Trade
-1.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
17.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$215,665.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$295.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$295.18
Gross Return
+2.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,940.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 12:45pm ET $494.17 22 $10,871.74
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $493.10 22 $10,848.20 $10,917.32 $-23.54
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $494.93 22 $10,888.46
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $494.49 22 $10,878.78 $10,907.64 $-9.68
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:20pm ET $498.36 21 $10,465.56
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $492.95 21 $10,351.85 $10,793.93 $-113.71
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:45pm ET $469.10 23 $10,789.30
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $482.76 23 $11,103.48 $11,108.11 +$314.18
(+2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $485.78 22 $10,687.16
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $485.15 22 $10,673.30 $11,094.25 $-13.86
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $494.01 22 $10,868.22
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $488.99 22 $10,757.78 $10,983.81 $-110.44
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:50am ET $488.15 22 $10,739.30
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 1:10pm ET $490.10 22 $10,782.09 $11,026.60 +$42.79
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $490.11 22 $10,782.42
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $497.18 22 $10,937.96 $11,182.14 +$155.54
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:30pm ET $490.62 22 $10,793.64
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $490.10 22 $10,782.20 $11,170.70 $-11.44
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $490.88 22 $10,799.36
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $493.85 22 $10,864.70 $11,236.04 +$65.34
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,236.04
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,236.04
Total Return: +12.36%
Back to Grace Crossover