Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:22:30

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.9/35
Total Return
16.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 33.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 33.2

30-Day Momentum

8
+0.2%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 9.9 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,751
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$19,839.67
Current Value
$19,870.80
Period P&L
$31.14
Max Drawdown
-35.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
2 / 7
Best Trade
+9.81%
Worst Trade
-4.33%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
8.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$371,103.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$31.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$31.14
Gross Return
+0.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $19,839.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:55am ET $8.56 2,317 $19,833.52
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $9.40 2,317 $21,779.80 $21,785.94 +$1,946.28
(+9.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $9.57 2,275 $21,783.12
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $9.48 2,275 $21,567.00 $21,569.81 $-216.13
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $9.58 2,251 $21,564.81
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $9.52 2,251 $21,440.77 $21,445.78 $-124.03
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $10.63 2,018 $21,441.25
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:35am ET $10.16 2,018 $20,512.97 $20,517.50 $-928.28
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:30am ET $11.42 1,796 $20,510.32
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:05pm ET $11.27 1,796 $20,249.90 $20,257.08 $-260.42
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $11.60 1,745 $20,250.72
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $11.64 1,745 $20,311.63 $20,317.98 +$60.90
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 11:30am ET $10.93 1,859 $20,309.58
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $10.73 1,859 $19,937.78 $19,946.18 $-371.80
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:50pm ET $12.02 1,659 $19,941.01
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:35pm ET $12.00 1,659 $19,899.87 $19,905.04 $-41.14
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $11.63 1,712 $19,902.00
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $11.60 1,712 $19,867.76 $19,870.80 $-34.24
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,870.80
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,870.80
Total Return: +98.71%
Back to Grace Crossover