Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 14:04:53

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 3.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.8

30-Day Momentum

11
+0.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.7 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,771
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,397.34
Current Value
$8,379.53
Period P&L
$-17.79
Max Drawdown
-16.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+1.19%
Worst Trade
-0.85%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$147,543.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-17.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$-17.79
Gross Return
-0.21%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,397.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $307.45 27 $8,301.28
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:35am ET $304.98 27 $8,234.39 $8,283.17 $-66.89
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:35pm ET $305.83 27 $8,257.41
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $303.24 27 $8,187.52 $8,213.28 $-69.89
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:40pm ET $302.39 27 $8,164.53
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $305.64 27 $8,252.28 $8,301.03 +$87.75
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $307.77 26 $8,002.15
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:50pm ET $311.43 26 $8,097.18 $8,396.06 +$95.03
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $302.27 27 $8,161.16
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $303.16 27 $8,185.41 $8,420.31 +$24.25
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:30am ET $291.27 28 $8,155.70
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $291.23 28 $8,154.44 $8,419.05 $-1.26
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $293.52 28 $8,218.56
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:25am ET $292.88 28 $8,200.64 $8,401.13 $-17.92
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held
8 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $285.14 29 $8,269.20
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $284.55 29 $8,251.81 $8,383.73 $-17.40
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
9 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $283.68 29 $8,226.86
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $283.54 29 $8,222.66 $8,379.53 $-4.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,379.53
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,620.47
Total Return: -16.20%
Back to Grace Crossover