Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-23 12:23:29

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 4.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

6
-0.7%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,517
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,530.91
Current Value
$8,233.10
Period P&L
$-297.78
Max Drawdown
-16.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.41

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+0.62%
Worst Trade
-2.83%
Avg Trade Return
-0.40%
Avg Hold Time
21h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$150,564.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-297.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$-297.78
Gross Return
-3.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,530.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:55am ET $280.73 30 $8,421.90
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $281.80 30 $8,454.00 $8,562.98 +$32.10
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $278.12 30 $8,343.60
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $277.80 30 $8,334.15 $8,553.53 $-9.45
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $274.53 31 $8,510.43
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $275.24 31 $8,532.44 $8,575.54 +$22.01
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $277.88 30 $8,336.25
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:55am ET $275.57 30 $8,266.95 $8,506.24 $-69.30
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $278.28 30 $8,348.40
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:40pm ET $278.04 30 $8,341.20 $8,499.04 $-7.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:30am ET $282.92 30 $8,487.45
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:00am ET $284.65 30 $8,539.65 $8,551.24 +$52.20
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $288.14 29 $8,355.99
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $285.71 29 $8,285.59 $8,480.84 $-70.40
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $284.23 29 $8,242.53
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $283.86 29 $8,231.94 $8,470.25 $-10.59
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $279.48 30 $8,384.55
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 11:40am ET $271.58 30 $8,147.40 $8,233.10 $-237.15
(-2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,233.10
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,766.90
Total Return: -17.67%
Back to Grace Crossover