Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:23:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 3.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

60
+10.5%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
4.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 71.5 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+57 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$4,597.31
Current Value
$5,059.67
Period P&L
$462.36
Max Drawdown
-67.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+5.30%
Worst Trade
-0.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.99%
Avg Hold Time
17h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$97,229.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$462.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$462.36
Gross Return
+10.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $4,597.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:45pm ET $48.83 94 $4,590.01
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $51.42 94 $4,833.48 $4,840.78 +$243.47
(+5.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET $51.51 93 $4,790.63
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $51.95 93 $4,831.35 $4,881.50 +$40.72
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $51.51 94 $4,842.41
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $51.33 94 $4,824.55 $4,863.64 $-17.86
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $52.75 92 $4,853.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:10am ET $53.40 92 $4,912.34 $4,922.98 +$59.34
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:10am ET $53.85 91 $4,900.35
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $53.60 91 $4,878.05 $4,900.69 $-22.29
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $54.67 89 $4,865.63
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $54.20 89 $4,823.80 $4,858.86 $-41.83
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:20am ET $54.67 88 $4,810.96
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $54.76 88 $4,818.88 $4,866.78 +$7.92
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $47.19 103 $4,860.06
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $47.09 103 $4,850.27 $4,856.99 $-9.79
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
9 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $45.18 107 $4,834.28
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $47.26 107 $5,057.13 $5,079.84 +$222.85
(+4.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:25pm ET $46.21 109 $5,036.35
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $46.02 109 $5,016.18 $5,059.67 $-20.17
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,059.67
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,940.33
Total Return: -49.40%
Back to Grace Crossover