Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 14:04:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.1/10
Raw Quality 2.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 2.1

30-Day Momentum

9
-5.3%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,770
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,677.94
Current Value
$5,492.94
Period P&L
$-184.92
Max Drawdown
-42.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
2 / 8
Best Trade
+3.19%
Worst Trade
-4.15%
Avg Trade Return
-0.53%
Avg Hold Time
22h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$114,462.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-184.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$-184.92
Gross Return
-3.26%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $5,677.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:35pm ET $6.26 926 $5,801.39
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $6.47 926 $5,986.59 $5,987.79 +$185.20
(+3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $6.45 928 $5,987.36
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $6.47 928 $6,008.80 $6,009.23 +$21.44
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET $6.51 923 $6,004.12
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:25pm ET $6.45 923 $5,948.74 $5,953.85 $-55.38
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $6.87 866 $5,949.42
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $6.59 866 $5,702.61 $5,707.04 $-246.81
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $6.28 909 $5,703.98
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:50pm ET $6.25 909 $5,681.25 $5,684.31 $-22.73
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $6.34 897 $5,683.12
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $6.24 897 $5,597.55 $5,598.74 $-85.57
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $6.45 868 $5,598.60
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:40pm ET $6.43 868 $5,585.58 $5,585.72 $-13.02
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:55pm ET $5.95 939 $5,582.36
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $5.91 939 $5,544.80 $5,548.16 $-37.56
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
9 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $6.11 907 $5,546.30
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $6.09 907 $5,528.16 $5,530.02 $-18.14
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
10 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:35am ET $5.92 934 $5,529.56
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:00am ET $5.88 934 $5,492.48 $5,492.94 $-37.08
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,492.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,507.06
Total Return: -45.07%
Back to Grace Crossover