Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:08:54

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.0/10
Raw Quality 2.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 2.0

30-Day Momentum

7
-4.7%
30d Return
11%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,506.52
Current Value
$5,267.48
Period P&L
$-239.04
Max Drawdown
-33.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.44

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
2 / 8
Best Trade
+1.56%
Worst Trade
-2.36%
Avg Trade Return
-0.48%
Avg Hold Time
22.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$98,784.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-239.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$-239.04
Gross Return
-4.34%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $5,506.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $630.61 8 $5,044.92
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $629.67 8 $5,037.36 $5,498.96 $-7.56
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:45am ET $622.21 8 $4,977.68
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $607.54 8 $4,860.32 $5,381.60 $-117.36
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:10am ET $598.38 8 $4,787.04
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET $596.97 8 $4,775.76 $5,370.32 $-11.28
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $628.07 8 $5,024.56
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:00am ET $622.26 8 $4,978.08 $5,323.84 $-46.48
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $638.04 8 $5,104.32
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET $635.48 8 $5,083.84 $5,303.36 $-20.48
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $616.02 8 $4,928.16
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $614.29 8 $4,914.32 $5,289.52 $-13.84
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:45am ET $605.08 8 $4,840.64
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 2:40pm ET $614.52 8 $4,916.16 $5,365.04 +$75.52
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:50am ET $614.15 8 $4,913.16
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 11:00am ET $612.29 8 $4,898.32 $5,350.20 $-14.84
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:40am ET $613.48 8 $4,907.84
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:05am ET $600.49 8 $4,803.92 $5,246.28 $-103.92
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 11:25am ET $622.96 8 $4,983.68
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $625.61 8 $5,004.88 $5,267.48 +$21.20
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,267.48
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,732.52
Total Return: -47.33%
Back to Grace Crossover